主笔赵世峰 日本前经济安保大臣高市早苗10月4日在自民党总裁选举中胜出,当选新一任总裁。如果不出意外,她大概 率将成为日本首位女性首相。然而,公明党10日正式向自民党传达了退出执政联盟的决定,此举为首相指 名选举增添了新的不确定性。 "第二次麻生政权" 10月7日,高市早苗正式确定了党内高层新人事安排。不出外界所料,新班底中多数成员来自在总裁选举中 支持她的"麻生派"议员阵营,具有强烈的"酬庸"意味。 85岁的麻生太郎无疑是高市此次当选的幕后推手,决胜轮投票前他曾要求派系所属43名议员"将票投给第 一轮党员票得数最多的人",所指不言而喻。对于这么一位"贵人",高市胜选后第一时间拜见感谢,磋商人 事安排,并恭请其出任自民党副总裁。麻生太郎现任自民党最高顾问,名义上高高在上,其实就是个闲职,远 不如副总裁来得实在。 安顿好"大佬",出了大力的"麻生派"议员自然也不能怠慢。"麻生派"核心成员、麻生太郎的妻弟铃木俊一 出任自民党干事长,负责党务运营；"麻生派"保守议员、高市参选推荐人之一有村治子担任总务会长； 高市选举阵营核心成员、前国家公安委员长古屋圭司担任选举对策委员长；前经济安保大臣小林鹰之则 出任政调会长。古 ...

Core Points - The election of Sanna Takichi as the new president of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) marks a significant moment as she is likely to become Japan's first female Prime Minister, but she inherits a challenging political landscape [1] - Takichi's cabinet appointments predominantly feature members from the Aso faction, indicating a strong influence from former Prime Minister Taro Aso, raising questions about her ability to lead independently [2][3] - The inclusion of politicians with past "black money" scandals in her administration has sparked public concern and criticism, undermining her promises of political reform [4][5] Political Dynamics - The new leadership structure heavily reflects the Aso faction's dominance, with key positions filled by Aso's supporters, which has led to public skepticism about Takichi's autonomy [2][3] - The appointment of individuals linked to past scandals, such as Koichi Hagiuda, has raised alarms about the LDP's commitment to addressing corruption issues [4] - Public sentiment is further complicated by the potential for Takichi's hardline stance on historical issues to strain Japan's diplomatic relations with neighboring countries [6] Economic Challenges - Takichi's economic strategy aims to revive the economy through aggressive fiscal policies, including tax cuts and government spending, which may exacerbate Japan's fiscal situation [7] - The depreciation of the yen against the dollar has raised concerns among investors, reflecting fears of financial instability under her leadership [7] - The execution of the Japan-U.S. trade agreement remains uncertain, with Takichi open to renegotiation if it does not serve Japan's interests, indicating potential volatility in trade relations [7][8] Public Sentiment and Future Outlook - There is significant public dissatisfaction with the government's handling of economic issues, including rising prices and demographic challenges, which Takichi must address to maintain support [7][8] - The effectiveness of her administration in responding to these pressing concerns will be crucial for her political longevity and the stability of her government [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent leadership changes within Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the challenges it faces in maintaining its coalition with the Komeito party, particularly concerning issues of political funding, historical recognition, and foreign relations [2][6][8]. Group 1: Leadership Changes - The LDP held a temporary general meeting on October 7, where new leadership appointments were made, including Sanae Takaichi as party president and Shunichi Suzuki as secretary-general [2]. - Takaichi expressed a desire to transform concerns about the future into hope and dreams, emphasizing the importance of party unity in addressing various challenges [2][4]. - The new leadership team includes several members from the Aso faction, indicating the faction's significant influence within the party [5]. Group 2: Coalition with Komeito - Komeito's leader, Tetsuo Saito, conveyed three main concerns to Takaichi, including issues related to political funding, historical recognition, and foreign relations [6][8]. - Komeito is particularly worried about the implications of Takaichi's past visits to the Yasukuni Shrine on Japan-China relations, fearing it could exacerbate diplomatic tensions [6][7]. - The coalition faces internal pressures, with some Komeito supporters expressing a desire to exit the ruling coalition if their concerns are not addressed [6][8]. Group 3: Policy Focus - The new policy chief, Koji Kobayashi, emphasized the need for swift measures to address rising prices and the upcoming budget and tax reform discussions [5]. - Takaichi's administration aims to maintain a dialogue with opposition parties to facilitate problem-solving, despite being a minority government [4][8]. - There is an intention to expand the ruling coalition by engaging with other opposition parties, such as the Democratic Party for the People [8].