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执政联盟破裂,“高市丸”未起航先搁浅
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-10-12 22:03
Core Points - The election of Sanae Takaichi as the new president of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) on October 4 marks a significant political shift, potentially leading her to become Japan's first female Prime Minister, although the recent decision by Komeito to exit the ruling coalition introduces uncertainty into the prime ministerial selection process [2][3] Group 1: Political Dynamics - Takaichi's new leadership team predominantly consists of members from the Aso faction, reflecting a strong patronage influence from Taro Aso, who is seen as a key supporter in her election [3][4] - The appointment of several controversial figures associated with "black money" scandals raises concerns about the integrity of the new administration, as Takaichi has indicated that these individuals will not face repercussions despite public dissatisfaction [5][6] Group 2: Coalition Concerns - Komeito's leadership has expressed three major concerns regarding Takaichi's administration, particularly focusing on the "black money" issue, historical recognition, and strict foreigner policies, which could jeopardize the coalition's stability [6][7] - The potential for diplomatic tensions with neighboring countries due to Takaichi's right-wing stance and past actions, such as visiting the Yasukuni Shrine, poses risks for Japan's foreign relations [7] Group 3: Economic Challenges - Takaichi's economic policies echo those of former Prime Minister Abe, advocating for aggressive fiscal measures, which may lead to further financial strain and investor concerns about Japan's fiscal health [8][9] - The uncertainty surrounding the implementation of the Japan-U.S. trade agreement and Takaichi's willingness to renegotiate terms if they do not align with Japan's interests adds another layer of complexity to her economic agenda [8][9]
被讽“第二次麻生政权”,高市难逃“短命首相”魔咒?
Qi Lu Wan Bao Wang· 2025-10-10 07:34
Core Points - The election of Sanna Takichi as the new president of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) marks a significant moment as she is likely to become Japan's first female Prime Minister, but she inherits a challenging political landscape [1] - Takichi's cabinet appointments predominantly feature members from the Aso faction, indicating a strong influence from former Prime Minister Taro Aso, raising questions about her ability to lead independently [2][3] - The inclusion of politicians with past "black money" scandals in her administration has sparked public concern and criticism, undermining her promises of political reform [4][5] Political Dynamics - The new leadership structure heavily reflects the Aso faction's dominance, with key positions filled by Aso's supporters, which has led to public skepticism about Takichi's autonomy [2][3] - The appointment of individuals linked to past scandals, such as Koichi Hagiuda, has raised alarms about the LDP's commitment to addressing corruption issues [4] - Public sentiment is further complicated by the potential for Takichi's hardline stance on historical issues to strain Japan's diplomatic relations with neighboring countries [6] Economic Challenges - Takichi's economic strategy aims to revive the economy through aggressive fiscal policies, including tax cuts and government spending, which may exacerbate Japan's fiscal situation [7] - The depreciation of the yen against the dollar has raised concerns among investors, reflecting fears of financial instability under her leadership [7] - The execution of the Japan-U.S. trade agreement remains uncertain, with Takichi open to renegotiation if it does not serve Japan's interests, indicating potential volatility in trade relations [7][8] Public Sentiment and Future Outlook - There is significant public dissatisfaction with the government's handling of economic issues, including rising prices and demographic challenges, which Takichi must address to maintain support [7][8] - The effectiveness of her administration in responding to these pressing concerns will be crucial for her political longevity and the stability of her government [8]