多极化时代
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特朗普威胁10%关税,印度18小时内从金砖战友变美国马前卒
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-19 06:16
Core Viewpoint - India's rapid diplomatic response to Trump's threat of a 10% tariff on BRICS countries highlights its economic dependency on the U.S. and raises questions about its reliability as a partner in international coalitions [1][3][6] Economic Dependency - India has a trade surplus with the U.S. amounting to $45.7 billion, with its IT services exports constituting 37% of the global market, heavily reliant on the U.S. market [3] - The potential impact of U.S. sanctions could severely affect India's IT services market, valued at approximately $35 billion [3] Diplomatic Reactions - India's swift clarification of its stance, stating it does not intend to challenge the dollar's dominance, contrasts sharply with its previous support for currency diversification among BRICS nations [1][6] - The urgency of India's diplomatic efforts, including sending its foreign minister to China, reflects a significant shift in its foreign policy approach [1][6] International Relations - India's actions have led to disappointment among other BRICS members, undermining the organization's unity and raising doubts about India's status as a reliable partner [6][11] - The perception of India as a "spoiler" within BRICS is growing, potentially isolating it in future multilateral negotiations [11][15] Strategic Shortcomings - India's recent behavior indicates a lack of strategic foresight, as it struggles to navigate the emerging multipolar world while maintaining its economic ties with the U.S. [13][20] - The increasing isolation of India within BRICS is evidenced by its high opposition rate of 31% in decision-making processes, significantly higher than other member states [15] Historical Context - The current situation reflects a broader trend of declining U.S. dollar dominance, with a quarter of countries reducing their dollar reserves, indicating a shift in global economic dynamics [17][20] - India's reluctance to take on responsibilities in the evolving international order may lead to its marginalization in future geopolitical developments [19][20]
拉夫罗夫指责冯德莱恩,特朗普对欧洲下刀割肉,欧洲觉醒为时已晚
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-03-31 01:34
欧洲民众意愿转变,对援乌热情快速下降 近日,俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫对欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩提出了严厉指责。他声称,冯德莱恩"断然无视"了泽连斯基和波罗 申科政权通过的消灭一切俄罗斯事物的法律。这一指责无疑揭开了西方在俄乌问题上的虚伪面纱。拉夫罗夫进一步表示, 西方的这种态度意味着他们尚未接受另一个时代已经到来,即世界已经进入俄中美多极化时代。在这个多极化的世界里, 各国之间的力量对比正在发生深刻变化,而西方传统的霸权地位正受到前所未有的挑战。 路透社的报道也为我们提供了更多关于欧洲立场的线索。据报道,欧洲不再计划向乌克兰派遣维和部队,并正在积极考虑 其他安全保障措施。一位匿名外交官透露,他们正在放弃派遣地面部队的想法,并试图重新思考正在做的事情,以提出更 合理的方案。这一变化反映出欧洲在俄乌战争问题上的态度正在发生微妙的变化。曾经,欧洲一度考虑通过派遣维和部队 来介入乌克兰局势,但如今,随着战争的持续和局势的复杂化,欧洲似乎开始重新评估自己的立场和策略。 特朗普的言论不仅反映了美国对欧洲的不满和抱怨,也揭示了美国对欧洲政策的转变。曾经,美国一直将欧洲视为自己的 重要盟友和伙伴,但现在,随着美国自身利益的考量和全球 ...