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特朗普威胁10%关税,印度18小时内从金砖战友变美国马前卒
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-19 06:16
Core Viewpoint - India's rapid diplomatic response to Trump's threat of a 10% tariff on BRICS countries highlights its economic dependency on the U.S. and raises questions about its reliability as a partner in international coalitions [1][3][6] Economic Dependency - India has a trade surplus with the U.S. amounting to $45.7 billion, with its IT services exports constituting 37% of the global market, heavily reliant on the U.S. market [3] - The potential impact of U.S. sanctions could severely affect India's IT services market, valued at approximately $35 billion [3] Diplomatic Reactions - India's swift clarification of its stance, stating it does not intend to challenge the dollar's dominance, contrasts sharply with its previous support for currency diversification among BRICS nations [1][6] - The urgency of India's diplomatic efforts, including sending its foreign minister to China, reflects a significant shift in its foreign policy approach [1][6] International Relations - India's actions have led to disappointment among other BRICS members, undermining the organization's unity and raising doubts about India's status as a reliable partner [6][11] - The perception of India as a "spoiler" within BRICS is growing, potentially isolating it in future multilateral negotiations [11][15] Strategic Shortcomings - India's recent behavior indicates a lack of strategic foresight, as it struggles to navigate the emerging multipolar world while maintaining its economic ties with the U.S. [13][20] - The increasing isolation of India within BRICS is evidenced by its high opposition rate of 31% in decision-making processes, significantly higher than other member states [15] Historical Context - The current situation reflects a broader trend of declining U.S. dollar dominance, with a quarter of countries reducing their dollar reserves, indicating a shift in global economic dynamics [17][20] - India's reluctance to take on responsibilities in the evolving international order may lead to its marginalization in future geopolitical developments [19][20]