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航天电器(002025):客户验收等因素影响短期业绩,产出能力提升,在手订单饱满
EBSCN· 2025-08-29 02:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return that will outperform the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [6][15]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 2.935 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.47%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 86.6952 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 77.49% [1][2]. - Despite a decline in performance, the company has seen a rapid growth in orders, particularly in defense, new energy, and data communication sectors, although revenue growth has not kept pace due to extended customer product acceptance cycles [2][3]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its production capacity and has implemented measures to optimize order scheduling and supply chain resources, which is expected to lead to improved performance in the second half of the year [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's gross margin and net margin were 31.94% and 3.91%, respectively, both showing a decline of 15.58 percentage points and 11.16 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company has actively managed costs, with sales expense ratio, R&D expense ratio, and management expense ratio decreasing by 0.86 percentage points, 2.02 percentage points, and 1.41 percentage points, respectively [2]. Order and Production Capacity - The company has secured opportunities for three key new projects and has seen over 30% year-on-year growth in orders from new industries [3]. - A total of 15 major industrialization projects have been identified, contributing to a significant increase in orders [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down by 51% and 37% to 442 million yuan and 713 million yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 988 million yuan [3]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.97 yuan, 1.56 yuan, and 2.17 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 56x, 34x, and 25x [3][5].