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老百姓(603883):全面启动转型变革 业绩有望稳步改善
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 02:32
Core Viewpoint - On October 28, the company released its Q3 2025 earnings report, achieving revenue of 16.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 529 million yuan, down 16.07% year-on-year. The basic earnings per share were 0.70 yuan, aligning with previous expectations. Looking ahead to Q4 2025 and 2026, the company is fully initiating a "dual-line" transformation, optimizing store layouts, enhancing procurement efficiency, and strengthening digital management to improve operational efficiency [1][2][3] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue decline of 1.0% year-on-year, with a net profit drop of 16.07% and a non-recurring net profit decrease of 18.55%. In Q3 2025, revenue was 5.296 billion yuan, showing a slight year-on-year improvement in net profit by 2.62% [2][3] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.14 yuan per share (before tax), totaling 106 million yuan, which accounts for 20.10% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2025 [2] Operational Improvements - The company added 756 new stores in the first three quarters of 2025, with a net increase of 215 stores, bringing the total to 15,492. The focus remains on enhancing market presence in advantageous regions and lower-tier cities, with 90.5% of stores located in key provinces and cities [4] - The company is undergoing a "dual-line" transformation, shifting from a "transaction-based" to a "relationship-based" store model, enhancing service quality and employee training [5][6] Supply Chain and AI Integration - The company is improving procurement efficiency, with centralized procurement increasing by 3.9 percentage points to 75.2%. The self-owned brand sales ratio in self-operated stores rose by 0.9 percentage points to 22.8% [7] - AI capabilities are being strengthened across various dimensions, including technology, application scenarios, and talent development, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and contribute to revenue growth [7] Market Strategy and Customer Engagement - The company is focusing on specialized services for chronic and severe diseases, with over 21.61 million patients registered in chronic disease management services and a total membership of 106.31 million [8] - The company is also expanding its health service offerings, integrating product, service, and scenario strategies to build a competitive edge in the market [8] Future Outlook - Looking ahead to Q4 2025 and 2026, the company is expected to continue optimizing store layouts and enhancing market share, which should lead to increased customer traffic and revenue growth. The ongoing improvements in procurement and self-owned brand ratios are anticipated to further enhance gross margins [9][10] - The company forecasts revenues of 22.71 billion yuan, 24.55 billion yuan, and 26.99 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 649 million yuan, 747 million yuan, and 860 million yuan, indicating a positive growth trajectory [11]