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老百姓(603883):全面启动转型变革 业绩有望稳步改善
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 02:32
Core Viewpoint - On October 28, the company released its Q3 2025 earnings report, achieving revenue of 16.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 529 million yuan, down 16.07% year-on-year. The basic earnings per share were 0.70 yuan, aligning with previous expectations. Looking ahead to Q4 2025 and 2026, the company is fully initiating a "dual-line" transformation, optimizing store layouts, enhancing procurement efficiency, and strengthening digital management to improve operational efficiency [1][2][3] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue decline of 1.0% year-on-year, with a net profit drop of 16.07% and a non-recurring net profit decrease of 18.55%. In Q3 2025, revenue was 5.296 billion yuan, showing a slight year-on-year improvement in net profit by 2.62% [2][3] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.14 yuan per share (before tax), totaling 106 million yuan, which accounts for 20.10% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2025 [2] Operational Improvements - The company added 756 new stores in the first three quarters of 2025, with a net increase of 215 stores, bringing the total to 15,492. The focus remains on enhancing market presence in advantageous regions and lower-tier cities, with 90.5% of stores located in key provinces and cities [4] - The company is undergoing a "dual-line" transformation, shifting from a "transaction-based" to a "relationship-based" store model, enhancing service quality and employee training [5][6] Supply Chain and AI Integration - The company is improving procurement efficiency, with centralized procurement increasing by 3.9 percentage points to 75.2%. The self-owned brand sales ratio in self-operated stores rose by 0.9 percentage points to 22.8% [7] - AI capabilities are being strengthened across various dimensions, including technology, application scenarios, and talent development, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and contribute to revenue growth [7] Market Strategy and Customer Engagement - The company is focusing on specialized services for chronic and severe diseases, with over 21.61 million patients registered in chronic disease management services and a total membership of 106.31 million [8] - The company is also expanding its health service offerings, integrating product, service, and scenario strategies to build a competitive edge in the market [8] Future Outlook - Looking ahead to Q4 2025 and 2026, the company is expected to continue optimizing store layouts and enhancing market share, which should lead to increased customer traffic and revenue growth. The ongoing improvements in procurement and self-owned brand ratios are anticipated to further enhance gross margins [9][10] - The company forecasts revenues of 22.71 billion yuan, 24.55 billion yuan, and 26.99 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 649 million yuan, 747 million yuan, and 860 million yuan, indicating a positive growth trajectory [11]
老百姓业绩双降:直营缩店、押注AI 能否破局行业结构性转型?
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-26 13:55
Core Viewpoint - The performance of listed chain pharmacies remains challenging in the first half of 2025, with signs of improvement emerging, particularly for the company "老百姓" which reported a slight recovery in revenue in the second quarter compared to the first quarter [2][3]. Financial Performance - "老百姓" achieved revenue of 10.774 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.51%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 398 million yuan, down 20.86% year-on-year [2][3]. - The decline in net profit is attributed to an increase in the proportion of new retail business sales, which led to a decrease in gross margin and an increase in R&D expenses [3]. - In the second quarter of 2025, revenue showed improvement, with a year-on-year decline of 1.14%, compared to a 1.88% decline in the first quarter [3]. Market Trends - The retail pharmacy market in China is under pressure, with a reported market size decline of 2.2% in 2024 and a 0.6% decrease in sales scale for physical retail pharmacies in the first half of 2025 [3]. - The industry is transitioning from rapid expansion to structural growth, focusing on quality rather than quantity [5]. Store Expansion Strategy - As of June 30, 2025, "老百姓" had a total of 15,385 stores, with a net increase of only 108 stores in the first half of 2025, marking a significant slowdown in expansion compared to previous years [5][6]. - The company is shifting its focus from direct store expansion to a mixed model of direct, franchise, and acquisition strategies, with a notable increase in franchise stores [5][6]. Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvement - The company is emphasizing cost reduction and efficiency improvement, achieving a 165.92% year-on-year increase in net cash flow from operating activities [8]. - The application of big data and AI technologies is being prioritized to enhance operational efficiency and customer service [8][10]. R&D and Technological Advancements - R&D expenses surged by 8686.48% year-on-year to 36.89 million yuan, primarily due to the capitalization of R&D expenditures [10]. - The company is developing AI applications to optimize operations and improve customer service, including partnerships with external companies like Tencent Health [10]. Industry Outlook - The retail pharmacy industry is expected to face ongoing challenges, with a shift towards a more diversified and integrated service model, moving from merely dispensing medications to providing comprehensive health solutions [10].