大国科技经贸博弈
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国际时政周评:如何理解经贸摩擦缓和期?
CMS· 2025-11-02 12:36
Group 1: US-China Trade Relations - The recent US-China summit resulted in a consensus to delay certain tariffs for one year, reflecting a framework for easing relations[11] - The US will suspend the 10% "fentanyl tariff" and maintain a 24% tariff on Chinese goods for one year, while China will adjust its countermeasures accordingly[10] - Both sides agreed to pause export control measures for one year, including the 50% penetration rule from the US and related measures from China[10] Group 2: Economic Impact and Market Reactions - The Nikkei index rose by 6.3% and the Korean Composite Index increased by 4.2% following the US-Japan and US-Korea trade agreements[17] - The US will maintain a 19% tariff on exports to Malaysia, Thailand, and Cambodia, and a 20% tariff on exports to Vietnam, while these countries will reduce tariffs on US goods[15] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.8% and the S&P 500 rose by 0.7% over the past week, indicating positive market sentiment[17] Group 3: Geopolitical Developments - Trump ordered the resumption of US nuclear tests, a move seen as a political signal rather than a direct threat amid ongoing tensions with Russia[20] - The US is expected to continue its focus on strategic security industries, with ongoing investigations into sectors like semiconductors and critical minerals[21] - The geopolitical landscape remains tense, with ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, and potential negotiations regarding Iran's nuclear program[22]