大国资源竞争与产业博弈
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2025年第2期:稀土永磁体:烧/粘结钕铁硼及钐钴
Huachuang Securities· 2025-12-04 14:13
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the rare earth permanent magnet industry Core Insights - The strategic position of rare earth resources continues to rise, becoming a focal point of resource competition and industrial gamesmanship among major powers. Rare earth elements exhibit exceptional magnetic, optical, and electrical properties, making them indispensable in high-tech fields such as new energy, new materials, energy conservation, aerospace, electronic information, and national defense [1][5] - The Oxford Energy Institute predicts that demand for rare earths will grow significantly before 2030, primarily for use in permanent components in electric vehicles and wind turbines [1][5] - China holds the largest share of global rare earth reserves at 44 million tons (approximately 48%), followed by Brazil (21 million tons, 23%) and India (6.9 million tons, 7.6%). The U.S. has only 1.9 million tons, which is 4.3% of China's reserves [1][8] - In terms of production, China is expected to produce 270,000 tons of rare earths in 2024, accounting for 68.5% of the global output of 390,000 tons [1][8] Summary by Sections Rare Earth Elements Introduction - Rare earth elements include 17 metals, categorized into light and heavy rare earths based on their physical and chemical properties. They are primarily found in the form of rare earth oxides [4] Rare Earth Permanent Products and Industry Chain - Rare earth permanent materials are the largest deep-processing sector for rare earths, consuming over 40% of total rare earth production. They are classified into neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) and samarium-cobalt (SmCo) magnets, with NdFeB being widely used in electric vehicles, wind turbines, consumer electronics, and industrial automation due to its superior magnetic performance and lower cost [16][29] - The production of NdFeB relies on raw materials such as praseodymium-neodymium oxide, dysprosium oxide, terbium oxide, and neodymium metal. The separation of praseodymium and neodymium is challenging due to their similar chemical properties [24][28] Industry Landscape - The report indicates that the industry has experienced a decline in revenue for three consecutive years, with projected revenue of 36.85 billion yuan in 2024, down nearly 19% from 45.3 billion yuan in 2022. Gross profit and gross margin have also significantly decreased [1] - The competition among permanent magnet companies is characterized by "large concentration, structural differentiation, and a shift towards high-end upgrades." The focus has shifted from pure capacity to technology, quality, and customer chain integration [1]