大漂亮法案(OBBBA)

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大漂亮法案的三个重要问题
CMS· 2025-07-06 04:31
Group 1: OBBBA Overview - The OBBBA increases the baseline deficit by $3.4 trillion over the next 10 years, with total deficits reaching $4.1 trillion including $0.7 trillion in interest expenses[8] - The bill was passed by the House with a vote of 218 to 214 and signed by President Trump on July 4[4] - The overall debt ceiling is raised by $5 trillion, exceeding the House version by $1 trillion[8] Group 2: Economic Impact - OBBBA is expected to boost U.S. economic growth by 1.2% in 2026 and peak at 1.5% in 2028, but the long-term impact may be weaker than the 2017 tax cuts[22] - The projected deficit rate for the next three years is around 7%, significantly higher than the previous two years[14] - Short-term benefits from tax cuts favor middle-income earners, while long-term benefits are skewed towards high-income groups[28] Group 3: Tax and Spending Changes - The tax cuts include permanent provisions for individual income tax and corporate tax credits, with a total tax reduction of $4.5 trillion[18] - Significant spending cuts are planned, including $1.074 trillion from medical subsidies and $543 billion from clean energy subsidies over the next 10 years[22] - The bill also abolishes certain tax benefits from the Biden administration, including parts of the "Green New Deal" and some social welfare programs[19]