大科技核心板块

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东兴证券:市场处于慢牛走势,首选大科技核心板块
天天基金网· 2025-03-14 10:04
Group 1 - The market is currently in a slow bull trend, with a preference for large technology core sectors, and a shift from extreme structure to balanced structure in asset allocation [2] - The upcoming earnings announcement period should consider fundamentals while avoiding underperforming companies, as most stocks are expected to return to their intrinsic value [2] - A-shares are expected to recover positively by 2025, driven by macroeconomic factors such as credit inflation and a stable debt environment [4] Group 2 - Conditions for a comprehensive A-share market rally are becoming more favorable, with expectations of foreign capital inflow and improved supply-demand dynamics in the market [6] - The potential for a significant market rally is linked to China's innovation, AI application advantages, and strategic opportunities [6] - Current dividend strategies show significant bottom characteristics, with indicators suggesting a potential recovery in performance [8] Group 3 - The dividend strategy has exhibited rare "negative return - high volatility" characteristics over the past three months, indicating a deviation from long-term averages and potential for recovery [8] - The relative market excess of dividends is nearing -10%, suggesting a high probability of excess return recovery based on historical patterns [8] - The trading volume of dividend ETFs is in a low state, indicating a potential bottom phase for the strategy, with a significant safety margin for allocation [8]