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商汤-W(00020):商汤(00020)2025年半年报点评:营收超预期,亏损大幅收窄,回款改善明显
Western Securities· 2025-08-31 09:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return that will outperform the market benchmark by over 20% in the next 6-12 months [3][6][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.4 billion (CNY) for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 36%. The gross profit was 900 million (CNY), with a gross margin of 38.5%. The adjusted net loss was 1.2 billion (CNY), a 50% decrease compared to the previous year, and trade receivables reached 3.2 billion (CNY), up 96% year-on-year, marking a historical high [1][6]. - The generative AI segment has shown continuous growth for three consecutive years, with H1 2025 revenue of 1.8 billion (CNY), a 73% year-on-year increase, accounting for 77% of total revenue. The visual AI business generated 400 million (CNY), down 15% year-on-year, primarily due to a shift in a major client's cooperation model from R&D services to maintenance services [1][2]. - The company has successfully reduced sales and administrative expenses, with sales expenses down 17.3% to 270 million (CNY) and administrative expenses down 18.8% to 600 million (CNY). R&D expenses increased by 12% to 2.12 billion (CNY) [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 5.1 billion (CNY) for 2025, 6.4 billion (CNY) for 2026, and 8.0 billion (CNY) for 2027. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be -2.1 billion (CNY) for 2025, -1.1 billion (CNY) for 2026, and -484 million (CNY) for 2027 [3][4][10]. - The report highlights a significant improvement in the company's financial metrics, with a projected gross margin of 39.0% for 2025 and a net profit margin of -42.5% for the same year [4][10]. Business Strategy - The company is building a comprehensive ecosystem with a "large device + large model + AI application" strategy, which is expected to create a long-term competitive advantage. The total computing power has increased to 25,000 PetaFLOPS as of August 2025, and the "Little Raccoon" product has surpassed 3 million users [2][3]. - The synergy between computing power, model development, and AI applications is expected to drive scalable effects, enhancing the overall industry solution and commercializing the integrated platform [2].