21世纪经济报道记者卢陶然北京报道 10月31日，中国气象局召开11月新闻发布会。会上，国家气象中 心副主任黄卓和国家气候中心副主任高荣介绍了10月全国天气气候特征，并发布未来10天（11月1日— 11月10日）天气预报和11月气候趋势预测。 秋雨连绵拖慢秋收秋种 高荣介绍，10月我国天气气候整体呈现"前暖后冷、降水显著偏多、冷空气频繁、台风登陆多"的特点。 一是全国平均气温"前暖后冷"，呈"北冷南暖"分布。10月以来（截至10月29日），全国平均气温 11.1℃，接近常年同期。月内，气温"前暖后冷"，上旬气温为历史同期最高，中下旬转为偏低。10月上 旬南方地区出现"秋老虎"高温过程，江西、福建、浙江、湖南等地的部分地区日最高气温超过38℃，其 中福建建宁日最高气温达39.3℃。 二是有三次冷空气过程影响中东部地区，东北地区南部、华北东部和南部等地入冬偏早。16—21日冷空 气过程相对较强，中东部大部地区气温普遍下降8～14℃，内蒙古、黑龙江、吉林等地的部分地区遭遇 雨雪天气，对秋粮收晒、存储略有影响，局地遭受低温冷冻灾害。截至目前，北方大部地区已入冬，与 常年同期相比，东北地区南部、华北东部和南部、西北地区 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The Sichuan Provincial Climate Center predicts that October will see average precipitation close to the historical norm, with an average temperature higher than usual, and identifies four significant rainfall events throughout the month [1][2]. Precipitation Forecast - The average precipitation for October is expected to be between 56mm and 61mm, which is close to the historical average of 60.9mm [1]. - Certain regions, including northern Ganzi, northern Aba, Mianyang, Guangyuan, Bazhong, Dazhou, Nanchong, Suining, and Guang'an, are projected to have precipitation levels 10% to 20% above the historical average [1]. - In contrast, areas such as Deyang, Ziyang, and Chengdu are expected to have precipitation levels close to the historical average, while other regions may see levels 10% to 20% below the historical average [1]. Rainfall Events - The four significant rainfall events are scheduled as follows: 1. October 1-5: Moderate to heavy rain in northeastern, northwestern, and central basin areas, with localized heavy rain; light rain in other regions [2]. 2. October 8-10: Moderate rain in northeastern, northwestern, southwestern basin areas, southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, and western Sichuan, with localized heavy to torrential rain; light rain in other regions [2]. 3. October 12-14: Moderate rain in northern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, central and southern basin areas; light rain in other regions [2]. 4. October 26-28: Moderate rain in northern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and northeastern basin areas; light rain in other regions [2]. Temperature Forecast - The average temperature for October is projected to be between 16.2°C and 16.6°C, which is higher than the historical average of 15.6°C [2].