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从8万美元跌至6万美元,比特币为何“跌跌不休”?
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2026-02-06 12:33
Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, is experiencing a significant downturn, with prices dropping sharply due to macroeconomic constraints and structural funding issues [1][6]. Market Performance - Bitcoin fell below $80,000 on February 1, dropped below $70,000 on February 5, and reached a low of approximately $60,000 on February 6, with a 24-hour decline of 10.19% and a 30-day decline of 31.17% [1][5]. - The total market capitalization of Bitcoin is approximately $1.29 trillion, with a trading volume of $208.05 billion in contracts and $27.50 billion in spot trading [2]. Market Dynamics - The decline in Bitcoin's price is attributed to macroeconomic factors, including the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman, which has led to expectations of tighter monetary policy and a stronger dollar, reducing risk appetite for volatile assets [6][8]. - There has been a notable decrease in the inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs, leading to widespread deleveraging and asset rebalancing, which exacerbates the downward pressure on prices [6][7]. Liquidation Events - In the past 24 hours, over 579,000 traders were liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $2.59 billion, highlighting the volatility and risk in the current market environment [3][4]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict an 82% probability that Bitcoin will fall below $65,000 this year, with a 60% chance of dropping below $55,000, indicating a challenging market ahead [7]. - The future trajectory of Bitcoin will depend on two main variables: the completion of the global deleveraging process and the potential return of ETF and arbitrage funds to the market [8].