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日债收益率创新高 日本央行陷通胀认知鸿沟
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-02 03:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the rising pressure on the Japanese economy due to increasing inflation, with the Bank of Japan maintaining a cautious stance on interest rate hikes despite significant consumer price increases [1][2] - The USD/JPY exchange rate is currently trading around 147.59, showing a 0.29% increase from the previous close of 147.17, indicating a potential upward trend if it breaks the resistance level of 148.78 [2] - Japan's 30-year government bond yield reached a historical high of 3.21%, driven by a core consumer inflation rate of 3.1% in July, which exceeds the Bank of Japan's target of 2% [1] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that if the USD/JPY breaks above 148.78, it could target the psychological level of 150.00 and the resistance level at 151.20, indicating a potential acceleration in the upward trend [2] - Conversely, if the exchange rate reverses and falls below 145.85, it may open further downside potential, with support levels at 144.22 and 143.45 [2] - The Bank of Japan's focus on "potential inflation" rather than actual price movements may create a disconnect with the public's experience of rising prices, complicating the central bank's policy normalization efforts [1]