客户质量提升
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富途控股(FUTU):25Q3业绩点评:客户质量持续提升,推动业绩增速超预期
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-11-19 13:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of $214.39 [2][6]. Core Insights - The company has experienced significant growth in client asset scale, leading to better-than-expected performance in revenue and net profit. The quality of clients continues to improve, which is a key driver for this growth [2][10]. - For the third quarter of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 164.08 billion HKD and a net profit of 79.47 billion HKD, representing year-on-year increases of 79.17% and 122.55%, respectively [10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 10,008 million HKD in 2023 to 52,816 million HKD by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 45% [4][11]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 4,282 million HKD in 2023 to 28,376 million HKD in 2027, with a CAGR of 49% [4][11]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 47.53 in 2023 to 7.17 by 2027, indicating a significant valuation improvement [4][11]. Client Growth and Market Activity - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company added 254,000 asset-holding clients, a 55.87% increase compared to the same period in 2024, achieving 90% of its annual target [10]. - The total client assets grew by 79% year-on-year to 1.24 trillion HKD, with two-thirds of this growth attributed to market changes and one-third from net inflows [10]. Revenue Breakdown - The total trading volume increased by 122.20% year-on-year to 10.71 trillion HKD, driving brokerage revenue up by 95.70% to 7.803 billion HKD, while interest income rose by 59.39% to 7.404 billion HKD [10].