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布鲁可:出海顺利,成人化加速,快速推新致盈利阶段性承压
Xinda Securities· 2026-03-16 08:24
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.913 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 30.0%, with an adjusted net profit of 675 million yuan, up 15.5% year-on-year [1][2] - The revenue for the second half of 2025 reached 1.575 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.9%, with an adjusted net profit of 355 million yuan, increasing by 21.3% year-on-year [1][2] - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on profitability due to a focus on long-term development, changes in product structure, and increased investment in R&D and sales channels [2][4] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from building block toys in the second half of 2025 was 1.518 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.8%, with sales volume and average price changing by +77.6% and -27.5% respectively [2] - The revenue from building blocks and assembly vehicles reached 57 million yuan in the second half of 2025, a significant increase of 248.7% [2] Regional and Model Analysis - Revenue by region in the second half of 2025 was 1.368 billion yuan from China, 75 million yuan from Asia (excluding China), and 107 million yuan from North America, with North America showing a remarkable year-on-year growth of 629.9% [3] - The company has expanded its official fan community across 12 countries and regions in the Asia-Pacific, supporting ongoing overseas business growth [3] - Revenue from offline and online sales in the second half of 2025 was 1.430 billion yuan and 145 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 28.4% and 78.7% [3] Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin for 2025 was 46.82%, down 5.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the adjusted net profit margin was 23.2%, a decrease of 2.9 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The overall expense ratio for the year was 34.9%, a decrease of 15.8 percentage points year-on-year, with sales, R&D, management, and financial expense ratios being 13.3%, 9.1%, 3.4%, and 0.06% respectively [4] Financial Forecasts - The company is expected to achieve adjusted net profits of 770 million yuan, 980 million yuan, and 1.27 billion yuan for 2026, 2027, and 2028 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 17.5X, 13.8X, and 10.6X [6][8]