家庭经济结构失衡

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储蓄率呈“断崖式”下跌,近半数国人没有存款?央行:是它在作怪
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 11:43
Core Viewpoint - The savings rate of Chinese residents has plummeted to a historic low of 24.3% in 2024, down from 45.7% in 2020, primarily due to the long-term pressure of high housing prices on household economic structures [1][4]. Group 1: Impact of High Housing Prices - High housing prices have led to a significant decline in household savings, with nearly half of respondents indicating they have little to no savings [1][4]. - The average household debt in China is 512,000 yuan, with over 80% attributed to housing loans, averaging 418,000 yuan [4]. - Monthly mortgage payments consume 42.3% of household income, far exceeding the international warning line of 30%, severely limiting disposable income for savings [4]. Group 2: Consequences of Declining Savings Rate - The drastic drop in savings rates poses serious social challenges, including significant risks to pension security, with a projected pension gap exceeding 10 trillion yuan by 2035 [7]. - Families' ability to withstand financial shocks is greatly diminished, as many are burdened with substantial mortgage debts, making them vulnerable to unemployment or health crises [9]. - The decline in savings is expected to lead to reduced consumer demand, undermining economic growth, as families with low savings will cut back on spending during economic downturns [9]. Group 3: Proposed Solutions - To address the crisis, it is essential to implement dual strategies: increasing the proportion of residents' income in GDP and improving income distribution [9]. - Additionally, creating more job opportunities is crucial to enhance household income levels and mitigate the impact of high housing prices on savings rates [9].