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导弹消耗战
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整理:中东局势跟踪(6月19日)
news flash· 2025-06-18 22:03
Group 1: Gaza Conflict - The current round of the Israel-Palestine conflict has resulted in 55,637 deaths in the Gaza Strip [1] - Israel has conducted intense airstrikes on the eastern part of Jabalia town in northern Gaza [1] - G7 leaders have called for the release of all hostages in Gaza and an immediate permanent ceasefire [1] Group 2: Iran-Israel Conflict - Iran claims to have shot down an F-35 fighter jet, with Israel yet to respond [2] - The Israeli military is in a state of panic over a "missile consumption war" as they intercept missiles [2] - Iran asserts that its "Fateh" missiles have breached Israeli defenses, claiming to have "full control" over its airspace [2] - The Israeli Air Force has launched attacks on over 50 Iranian missile and nuclear centrifuge production facilities [2] - The International Atomic Energy Agency reported significant damage to key facilities at the Natanz nuclear site, while the Fordow site remained largely undamaged [2] - Casualties from Iranian attacks on Israel have reached 24 dead and over 1,300 injured [2] - The Israeli military has targeted 40 Iranian missile infrastructure and storage sites [2] - Iran has launched over 400 ballistic missiles at Israel [2] - Israel's military has relaxed operational guidelines in most areas, except for eight regions near Gaza [2] - Iran is experiencing near-total internet disruption, with temporary restrictions on user access [2] - Israeli sources claim an attack on Khamenei's underground headquarters in Tehran, which Iran denies [2][3] Group 3: Diplomatic Negotiations - Reports indicate that Trump privately approved attacks on Iran but did not issue a final command, preferring to observe Iran's nuclear intentions [4] - Trump stated that the U.S. does not seek a ceasefire but demands that Iran abandon its nuclear weapons program [4] - Iran's UN representative denied reports of negotiations with the U.S., despite media suggesting Iran may accept such proposals [4] - Qatar's Emir received a letter from Iranian President Raisi [4] - Russia is maintaining communication with the U.S., Iran, and Israel regarding the conflict, warning against direct U.S. military aid to Israel [4] - German and French foreign ministers are set to meet with the Iranian foreign minister for nuclear negotiations [4] - Iran's UN ambassador warned of retaliatory measures if the U.S. is found to be directly involved in attacks on Iran [4] - Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei stated that Iran will never surrender and that any U.S. military action will have severe consequences [4] Group 4: Military Movements and Security Measures - U.S. military aircraft have arrived in Cyprus, and bombers have been deployed to a military base in southern Spain [5] - A third U.S. aircraft carrier is preparing to deploy to the Central Command area [5] - U.S. officials have indicated that military personnel in the Middle East are under heightened security measures [5] - Reports of cyberattacks on Iranian cryptocurrency exchanges, resulting in a theft of $48 million [5] - The UK government has temporarily evacuated family members of staff from its embassy in Tel Aviv and consulate in Jerusalem, while operations continue [5] - The U.S. embassy in Israel has begun evacuating personnel [5] - The Chinese embassy in Israel is advising its citizens to register for evacuation [5]
再过10-12天,以军将耗尽反导系统
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-06-18 09:30
Core Insights - The ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel has led to significant depletion of Israel's missile defense systems, with estimates suggesting they could be exhausted in 10 to 12 days if Iran maintains its current attack intensity [1][5] - Iran's missile stockpile is also under pressure, with approximately 2,000 missiles initially available, of which around 400 have been launched, resulting in a loss of one-third of their arsenal [3][4] Group 1: Israel's Defense Situation - Israel's missile defense system is reportedly overwhelmed, leading to a "missile rationing" strategy where they must selectively intercept incoming threats [1][5] - The cost of Israel's missile defense operations is substantial, with nightly expenses reaching 1 billion shekels (approximately 285 million USD) [4] - The reliance on expensive missile systems, such as the Arrow system costing 3 million USD per missile, poses sustainability challenges for Israel's defense strategy [6] Group 2: Iran's Offensive Strategy - Iran appears to be employing a strategy of small-scale, continuous attacks to deplete Israel's defense capabilities, potentially using older and less advanced missiles [4] - The intensity of Iran's missile launches has decreased significantly, with a drop from over 150 missiles in one night to just 10 in a subsequent attack [3] - Analysts suggest that Iran's remaining missile capabilities are still significant, with more than half of their arsenal reportedly intact and possibly hidden in underground facilities [3]
华尔街日报:以军拦截弹告急 美以陷入“导弹消耗战”恐慌
news flash· 2025-06-18 05:49
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the urgent situation regarding Israel's dwindling stock of defensive interceptors, raising concerns about its ability to counter Iran's long-range ballistic missile capabilities if the conflict does not resolve quickly [1] Group 1: Israel's Defense Situation - An American official disclosed that Israel's stock of defensive interceptors is running low, which poses a significant concern for its defense strategy against potential threats from Iran [1] - The U.S. has been aware of Israel's inventory issues for several months and is actively working to bolster Israel's defenses through land, sea, and air-based systems [1] Group 2: U.S. Response and Concerns - Since the escalation of conflict in June, the U.S. Department of Defense has deployed additional missile defense equipment to the region [1] - There are growing concerns within the U.S. about the rapid consumption of interceptors, indicating a potential strain on resources [1] - Tom Karako, director of the Missile Defense Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, emphasized the need for Israel and its allies to take proactive measures rather than waiting passively for interceptors [1]