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传音控股(688036):25Q1营收同比-25%,进入正常淡季节奏
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company's Q1 2025 revenue decreased by 25.5% year-on-year, indicating a transition into a normal seasonal slowdown [6] - The company ranks fourth globally in smartphone shipments, with over 40% market share in Africa and leading positions in Pakistan, Bangladesh, and India [6] - The company is accelerating AI image functionality innovations and has made breakthroughs in small language AI technology [6] - The mobile internet business has reached over 10 million monthly active users, exploring localized business models [6] - The company's ecosystem model, combining mobile phones, internet services, and home appliances, shows closed-loop advantages [6] - The profit forecast for 2025/26 is maintained at 62/65 billion yuan, with a new forecast of 71 billion yuan for 2027 [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 68,715 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.3% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is estimated at 6,217 million yuan, reflecting a 12% year-on-year growth [5] - The earnings per share for 2025 is projected to be 5.45 yuan [5] - The gross margin for 2025 is expected to be 21.9% [5] - The return on equity (ROE) for 2025 is forecasted at 23.5% [5]