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《中国碳中和目标下的工业低碳技术展望》报告:2060年我国工业碳排放有望降至4.5亿吨
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-05-29 08:09
Core Insights - The report outlines key technological pathways for achieving carbon neutrality in China's industrial sector, projecting a reduction in industrial carbon emissions to 450 million tons by 2060, a decrease of approximately 95% from 2025 levels [1] - Four common technologies—raw material substitution and waste recycling, electrification and clean power substitution, hydrogen substitution, and CCUS—are expected to contribute nearly 80% of the industrial technology emission reduction potential [1] Technological Evolution Pathways - From 2025 to 2035, the large-scale application of low-carbon process technologies will occur, with energy efficiency improvement technologies and raw material substitution and waste recycling technologies significantly reducing industrial carbon emissions [1] - The period from 2035 to 2050 will see the explosive application of disruptive process technologies, with accelerated development of electrification and clean power substitution technologies, and the scaling of hydrogen substitution technologies driven by declining costs and increased maturity [1] - From 2050 to 2060, deep application of carbon removal underpinning technologies will take place, with CCUS technology expected to contribute 24% to emission reductions by 2060 [1] Policy Recommendations - The report suggests a series of policy recommendations, including planning and deploying major projects for key industrial carbon neutrality technologies, enhancing the carbon market's incentive effects, and accelerating the R&D breakthroughs and demonstration promotion of common carbon neutrality technologies [2] - It emphasizes the need to establish a supportive fiscal and tax policy system for the development of carbon neutrality technologies and to expedite the deployment of common technologies with clear industrialization paths and significant emission reduction potential [2] - The report was compiled by over 40 experts from 24 organizations, including various industrial planning and research institutes, and involved extensive field research and expert consultations to gather insights on low-carbon transition practices and technological needs [2]