电气化与清洁电力替代技术

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经验少、成本高、难度大 工业脱碳技术如何“闯关”
Zhong Guo Chan Ye Jing Ji Xin Xi Wang· 2025-06-18 23:09
Core Viewpoint - The industrial sector is the primary area for energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions in China, accounting for approximately 68% of the country's carbon emissions, making decarbonization in this sector crucial for achieving the "dual carbon" goals [1][2] Summary by Sections Industrial Decarbonization Importance - The industrial sector's decarbonization is vital for meeting China's carbon neutrality targets, with a potential reduction of carbon emissions to 450 million tons by 2060, representing a 95% decrease from 2025 levels [1][6] Challenges in Innovation and Commercialization - The report highlights that over 35% of technologies capable of contributing to climate goals have not yet been commercialized globally, indicating significant challenges in the industrial decarbonization process [1][2] - Key technologies such as raw material substitution, waste recycling, electrification, hydrogen substitution, and carbon capture and storage (CCUS) can collectively contribute nearly 80% of the industrial emission reduction potential [2][3] Need for Tailored Solutions - Experts emphasize the necessity of customized approaches for different industrial sectors, as high carbon-emitting industries like steel, cement, and petrochemicals have unique production processes and emission characteristics [4] - A balance between technological evolution and economic feasibility is essential for advancing low-carbon technologies [4] Pathway to Decarbonization - The timeline for industrial decarbonization is outlined, with significant advancements expected in low-carbon process technologies from 2025 to 2035, followed by disruptive technologies from 2035 to 2050, and deep application of carbon removal technologies like CCUS from 2050 to 2060 [6][7] Recommendations for Accelerating Technology Deployment - The report suggests four key areas for breakthroughs: 1. Accelerating the planning and deployment of major carbon neutrality projects in key industrial sectors [7] 2. Enhancing the role of carbon markets and carbon finance in incentivizing industrial decarbonization [7] 3. Establishing technology-specific initiatives to promote research and demonstration of common carbon neutrality technologies [7] 4. Creating a supportive fiscal and tax policy framework to stimulate market activity for carbon neutrality technologies [7]
《中国碳中和目标下的工业低碳技术展望》报告:2060年我国工业碳排放有望降至4.5亿吨
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-05-29 08:09
Core Insights - The report outlines key technological pathways for achieving carbon neutrality in China's industrial sector, projecting a reduction in industrial carbon emissions to 450 million tons by 2060, a decrease of approximately 95% from 2025 levels [1] - Four common technologies—raw material substitution and waste recycling, electrification and clean power substitution, hydrogen substitution, and CCUS—are expected to contribute nearly 80% of the industrial technology emission reduction potential [1] Technological Evolution Pathways - From 2025 to 2035, the large-scale application of low-carbon process technologies will occur, with energy efficiency improvement technologies and raw material substitution and waste recycling technologies significantly reducing industrial carbon emissions [1] - The period from 2035 to 2050 will see the explosive application of disruptive process technologies, with accelerated development of electrification and clean power substitution technologies, and the scaling of hydrogen substitution technologies driven by declining costs and increased maturity [1] - From 2050 to 2060, deep application of carbon removal underpinning technologies will take place, with CCUS technology expected to contribute 24% to emission reductions by 2060 [1] Policy Recommendations - The report suggests a series of policy recommendations, including planning and deploying major projects for key industrial carbon neutrality technologies, enhancing the carbon market's incentive effects, and accelerating the R&D breakthroughs and demonstration promotion of common carbon neutrality technologies [2] - It emphasizes the need to establish a supportive fiscal and tax policy system for the development of carbon neutrality technologies and to expedite the deployment of common technologies with clear industrialization paths and significant emission reduction potential [2] - The report was compiled by over 40 experts from 24 organizations, including various industrial planning and research institutes, and involved extensive field research and expert consultations to gather insights on low-carbon transition practices and technological needs [2]