"工业部门是我国能源消耗和二氧化碳排放最主要的领域，覆盖了全国约68%的碳排放量，工业部门脱 碳对实现'双碳'目标具有决定性意义。"中国工程院院士、清华大学碳中和研究院院长、环境学院教授贺 克斌在近日召开的《中国碳中和目标下的工业低碳技术展望》（以下简称《展望》）发布会上指 出，"但在当前技术条件下，全球范围内能够为气候目标作出贡献技术中尚未实现商业化的比例仍高达 35%以上。" 在此背景下，业界普遍认为，针对工业脱碳的技术，强化前沿战略布局、明确发展技术路线、形成综合 解决方案，将是为未来提供支撑的重要步骤。《展望》认为，在碳中和情景下，随着各类工业脱碳技术 成熟应用，到2060年我国工业碳排放量有望降至4.5亿吨，较2025年实现约95%的降幅。 创新技术面临商业化挑战 《展望》指出，工业部门是国民经济中最重要的物质生产部门，也是中国能源消耗和二氧化碳排放最集 中的领域。"双碳"目标将驱动产业链和生产模式的重大重构，工业碳中和技术的系统研究与战略部署， 不仅关系中国工业领域脱碳进程，更关乎中国产业竞争力的重塑。 生态环境部环境规划院副院长严刚表示，从目前来看，原料替代与废物回收、电气化与清洁电力替代、 氢 ...

Core Insights - The report outlines key technological pathways for achieving carbon neutrality in China's industrial sector, projecting a reduction in industrial carbon emissions to 450 million tons by 2060, a decrease of approximately 95% from 2025 levels [1] - Four common technologies—raw material substitution and waste recycling, electrification and clean power substitution, hydrogen substitution, and CCUS—are expected to contribute nearly 80% of the industrial technology emission reduction potential [1] Technological Evolution Pathways - From 2025 to 2035, the large-scale application of low-carbon process technologies will occur, with energy efficiency improvement technologies and raw material substitution and waste recycling technologies significantly reducing industrial carbon emissions [1] - The period from 2035 to 2050 will see the explosive application of disruptive process technologies, with accelerated development of electrification and clean power substitution technologies, and the scaling of hydrogen substitution technologies driven by declining costs and increased maturity [1] - From 2050 to 2060, deep application of carbon removal underpinning technologies will take place, with CCUS technology expected to contribute 24% to emission reductions by 2060 [1] Policy Recommendations - The report suggests a series of policy recommendations, including planning and deploying major projects for key industrial carbon neutrality technologies, enhancing the carbon market's incentive effects, and accelerating the R&D breakthroughs and demonstration promotion of common carbon neutrality technologies [2] - It emphasizes the need to establish a supportive fiscal and tax policy system for the development of carbon neutrality technologies and to expedite the deployment of common technologies with clear industrialization paths and significant emission reduction potential [2] - The report was compiled by over 40 experts from 24 organizations, including various industrial planning and research institutes, and involved extensive field research and expert consultations to gather insights on low-carbon transition practices and technological needs [2]