工业硅市场供应过剩
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十月尚处传统旺季 工业硅盘面预计维持震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-20 00:22
Core Viewpoint - The industrial silicon futures market is experiencing fluctuations with a recent decrease in prices and a reduction in open interest, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment and supply dynamics [1][2]. Market Performance - As of the week ending October 17, 2025, industrial silicon futures closed at 8430 CNY/ton, with a weekly decline of 3.38% from an opening price of 8595 CNY/ton, reaching a high of 8860 CNY/ton and a low of 8415 CNY/ton [1]. - The open interest decreased by 35,242 contracts compared to the previous week [1]. Spot Market Overview - The spot market for industrial silicon showed mixed sentiments, with prices for various products: - 553 industrial silicon at 8750 CNY/ton, down 1.13% day-on-day - 99 silicon powder stable at 10050 CNY/ton - Trichlorosilane at 3375 CNY/ton, stable - Organosilicon at 11300 CNY/ton, stable [2]. Production Insights - In the second week of October, industrial silicon production remained steady at 95,700 tons, with a projected monthly output of 420,000 tons [3]. Institutional Perspectives - Guotou Anxin Futures noted that supply from Xinjiang is increasing, while the southwestern region is expected to initiate significant production cuts by the end of October to early November, despite current price pressures [4]. - Hualian Futures highlighted that electricity price adjustments in the southwestern region may lead to more production cuts, while demand from polysilicon manufacturers remains stable without significant increases. Some downstream organic silicon facilities are expected to undergo maintenance, indicating a potential for increased inventory ahead of the traditional peak season [4].