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兴业银锡(000426):手握多座世界级矿山 银锡龙头未来可期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 00:34
Core Viewpoint - The company is expanding its resource portfolio globally, focusing on silver, tin, and zinc, with significant acquisitions and operational growth expected in the coming years [1][2]. Group 1: Resource Expansion - The company has undergone three rounds of resource expansion since its listing, with major acquisitions including Bosheng Mining (gold) and Yubang Mining (silver and zinc) in 2023 [1]. - The company currently operates three major mines that are expected to generate substantial profits, positioning it as a high-growth cash cow [1]. - The company holds three world-class silver mines, with significant silver resources: Yinan Mining (8,058 tons), Yubang Mining (17,900 tons), and Budun Yingen Mining (11,000 tons) [1]. Group 2: Future Production Capacity - The company’s silver production capacity is projected to increase by 2.7 times, reaching 1,494 million tons per year after full production of its mines [2]. - In 2024, the combined silver production from the company's three mines is expected to be 229 tons, which is below the average production of over 350 tons per year from the top ten silver mines globally [2]. Group 3: Market Conditions - Current silver and tin prices are considered undervalued, with potential for recovery as industrial metal prices may realign with gold prices due to manufacturing PMI trends [3]. - The silver market is facing a persistent supply-demand gap, exacerbated by low inventory levels and increasing demand from the photovoltaic sector [3]. - Tin supply issues are expected to persist due to geopolitical factors and resource depletion, while demand is anticipated to rise due to AI-driven growth in the semiconductor market [3]. Group 4: Financial Projections - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 5.86 billion, 6.68 billion, and 8.32 billion respectively, with net profits of 2.06 billion, 2.41 billion, and 3.13 billion [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from high growth potential in the silver and tin multi-metal mining sector, with a favorable price-to-earnings ratio forecasted [4].