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月度经济观察·10月份多领域数据出炉 经济继续保持平稳增长态势明显
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-10-31 05:36
Core Insights - The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for China's manufacturing sector in October is reported at 49%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, influenced by seasonal factors and external conditions [1][2] - Despite the decline in PMI, new momentum and consumer goods manufacturing are showing steady growth, with key sectors like equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing remaining in the expansion zone [2][4] Manufacturing Sector - The equipment manufacturing price index reached a new high since June 2024, while the high-tech manufacturing price index hit a new high since 2025, indicating positive price changes in the manufacturing sector [4] - The production index and new orders index for key manufacturing sectors are operating around 51%, reflecting a stable expansion [2] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index for October is at 50.1%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, maintaining levels above 50 since 2025 [7] - The service sector shows strong performance, particularly in contact-based services related to travel, shopping, and entertainment, with indices for railway and air transport exceeding 60% [6] Investment and Economic Outlook - There are signs of accelerated construction activities related to infrastructure investment, with the civil engineering business activity index rising above 55%, and new orders index increasing to over 49% [9] - The business activity expectation index for non-manufacturing is at 56.1%, indicating a positive outlook for the sector, supported by fiscal and monetary policy collaboration [9]