布雷顿森林体系改革
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专访欧洲经济学家乌赞:世界正处于转折点,全球南方力量正在崛起
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-03 12:36
Core Insights - The global South, including countries like China and India, is increasingly becoming a growth engine for the world economy, with China advocating for reforms in global governance through initiatives like the Global Governance Initiative presented at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit [1][9]. Group 1: Global Governance and Financial Institutions - The Bretton Woods system is facing significant challenges, including outdated quota distributions and a lack of representation for emerging economies, which necessitates reform [2][9]. - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank are struggling to adapt to the current economic landscape, which has shifted significantly since their inception nearly 80 years ago [6][9]. - China is actively promoting inclusive reforms through initiatives such as the New Development Bank and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, aiming to complement rather than replace existing institutions [6][13]. Group 2: Dollar Dominance and Currency Dynamics - While the US dollar remains the dominant reserve currency, its supremacy is being challenged by factors such as the weaponization of the dollar, increased use of the renminbi, and innovations in digital currencies [2][7]. - The rise of stablecoins, projected to grow from $300 billion to $4 trillion by 2030, could significantly alter the landscape of reserve currencies, potentially reinforcing or undermining the dollar's position [8][7]. - The ongoing expansion of BRICS reflects a collective desire among emerging economies to reduce reliance on the dollar and challenge Western-dominated financial structures [10][11]. Group 3: Future of Global Economic Governance - The current geopolitical tensions and economic fragmentation pose a fundamental challenge to the cooperation and integration that have characterized the past four decades [4][12]. - The need for a new global economic framework is evident, as existing institutions struggle to meet the demands of a rapidly changing world [5][4]. - The emphasis on multilateralism and shared development opportunities is crucial for the future of global governance, with China positioning itself as a key player in this transition [13][12].