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洲际船务(02409.HK):受益港口费反制 中资船管公司竞争力提升
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-19 04:44
Group 1 - The Ministry of Transport announced a special port service fee for various types of vessels involved with the U.S., which may allow the company to gain more market share due to its efficient local operations compared to overseas competitors [1] - The shipping service business showed resilience despite a decline in market rates, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) and the Clean Tanker Index (BCTI) dropping by 30% and 32% year-on-year, respectively. The company's shipping revenue decreased by 23% to $80 million, with chartered vessel revenue down 26% to $30 million and controlled vessel revenue down 21% to $50 million [1] - The gross margin for chartered vessels increased by 2.4 percentage points to 4.1%, while the gross margin for controlled vessels decreased by 19.6 percentage points to 28.3%, indicating that the company's performance decline was less severe than the market rate drop [1] Group 2 - The company expanded its fleet size and improved the age structure of its vessels, controlling 38 vessels with a total capacity of 1.48 million deadweight tons, a 2.1% increase year-on-year. The average age of the fleet decreased from 6 years in 2024 to 5 years [2] - The bulk shipping market is expected to improve, with the BDI index showing a 5% year-on-year increase in Q3 2025, and the company is likely to benefit from this trend as bulk carriers constitute the largest portion of its fleet [2] Group 3 - The company's performance met expectations, with a revised average price growth forecast of 0% for 2025. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are $47 million, $60 million, and $74 million, respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio of 6, 5, and 4 [3] - The company's PE ratio of 4.55 is significantly lower than the median and average PE ratios of comparable companies in the shipping and port industry, indicating over 20% upside potential [3]