干电池行业发展

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安孚科技(603031):深度报告:电池王者再起航,资产重组带来新生
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-08-19 06:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][6]. Core Views - The report highlights that the dry battery industry has significant demand characteristics and growth potential, with Anfu Technology expected to increase its stake in Nanfu Battery to 43% by 2026, which will have a substantial positive impact on performance [2][13]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 4,318 million yuan in 2023 to 5,822 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.7% [4][19]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 116 million yuan in 2023 to 502 million yuan in 2027, with a notable increase of 131.3% in 2025 [4][19]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from 0.55 yuan in 2023 to 2.38 yuan in 2027 [4][19]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 65.80 in 2023 to 15.18 in 2027 [4][19]. Business Segments - The alkaline battery segment is expected to generate revenues of 38.72 billion yuan in 2025, with a stable gross margin of 54% [17][19]. - The carbon battery segment is projected to achieve revenues of 3.80 billion yuan in 2025, maintaining a gross margin of around 37% [17][19]. - Other battery types, including button batteries and rechargeable lithium batteries, are anticipated to generate revenues of 2.20 billion yuan in 2025, with a gross margin of 58% [18][19]. Industry Overview - The dry battery industry is characterized by strong demand and significant growth potential, driven by trends such as the proliferation of smart home devices and the aging population [2][13]. - The global retail market for zinc-manganese batteries is expected to exceed 12 billion USD by 2025, with a steady growth rate of over 1% annually until 2028 [13][19]. Strategic Actions - Anfu Technology is undergoing a strategic transformation by increasing its control over Nanfu Battery, which has maintained a market share of over 85% in the domestic alkaline battery market for 32 consecutive years [13][19]. - The company is actively optimizing its shareholding structure to enhance operational efficiency and market competitiveness [23][29].