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DLS MARKETS:美国5月新屋销量骤降,房地产市场为何失去支撑?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-26 10:01
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant decline in new single-family home sales in the U.S., with a month-over-month drop of 13.7%, marking the largest decrease in nearly three years, and an annualized sales rate of 623,000 units, the lowest since October 2023 [1][3] - The decline in sales is attributed to high interest rates, with the 30-year fixed mortgage rate hovering around 7%, leading to increased monthly payment pressures for first-time homebuyers and a reduction in their borrowing capacity [3] - Rising construction costs due to tariffs on materials and labor shortages are further exacerbating the affordability crisis, making it difficult for buyers to enter the market despite increased inventory [3][4] Group 2 - The labor market's changes are impacting buyer sentiment, with a slowdown in hiring across various sectors and recent layoffs causing households to adopt a more conservative outlook on future income stability [3] - The Federal Reserve has not indicated a clear path for interest rate cuts, with inflation data not yet returning to the 2% target, suggesting that high interest rates may persist until the end of the year [4] - The decline in new home sales could negatively affect other macroeconomic indicators such as building permits, new housing starts, and housing-related consumer spending, potentially weakening the foundation of the U.S. economic recovery [4]