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宝城期货橡胶早报-20250509
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-05-09 03:36
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - Both Shanghai rubber futures 2509 contract and synthetic rubber futures 2507 contract are expected to run strongly on May 9, 2025, with an intraday view of oscillating strongly and a medium - term view of oscillating weakly [1][5][7]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Shanghai Rubber (RU) - **Market Situation**: On the night of Thursday, the 2509 contract of Shanghai rubber futures showed an oscillating and stabilizing trend, with the futures price slightly rising 0.07% to 14,705 yuan/ton. It is expected to maintain an oscillating and strong trend on Friday [5]. - **Core Logic**: Domestic and foreign natural rubber producing areas will enter a new round of tapping seasons, and new rubber supply will gradually increase. After the May Day holiday, the downstream tire industry's operating rate has rebounded, and procurement demand is expected to increase. However, due to the lack of continuous improvement in the supply - demand structure and a slight increase in rubber inventories in Qingdao Free Trade Zone, it is difficult to support the continuous strengthening of post - holiday rubber prices. After the bearish sentiment is digested, the futures price shows a stabilizing trend [5]. Synthetic Rubber (BR) - **Market Situation**: On the night of Thursday, the 2507 contract of domestic synthetic rubber futures showed an oscillating and strong trend, with the futures price rising 1.41% to 11,510 yuan/ton. It is expected to maintain an oscillating and strong trend on Friday [7]. - **Core Logic**: During the May Day holiday, OPEC + oil - producing countries agreed to continue to accelerate production in June, bringing new supply pressure to the crude oil market. After the bearish sentiment in the crude oil market is digested, the oil price shows an oscillating and stabilizing trend, driving the synthetic rubber futures price to rise [7].