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算力:从英伟达的视角看算力互连板块成长性 - Scale Up 网络的“Scaling Law”存在吗?
2025-08-21 15:05
Summary of Conference Call on Scale Up Network Growth from NVIDIA's Perspective Industry Overview - The discussion revolves around the **Scale Up network** in the context of **NVIDIA** and its implications for the broader **computing power** industry, particularly in AI and parallel computing applications [1][5][9]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Scaling Law**: The concept of a "Scaling Law" in networks is proposed, emphasizing the need for larger cross-cabinet connections rather than just existing ASIC and cabinet solutions [1][5]. - **NVIDIA's Strategy**: NVIDIA aims to address hardware memory wall issues and parallel computing demands by increasing **Nvlink bandwidth** and expanding the **Up scale** from H100 to GH200, although initial adoption was low due to high costs and insufficient inference demand [6][8]. - **Memory Wall**: The memory wall refers to the disparity between the rapid growth of model parameters and computing power compared to memory speed, necessitating more HBM interconnect support for model inference and GPU operations [1][10]. - **Performance Metrics**: The GB200 card shows significant performance differences compared to B200, with a threefold performance gap at 10 TPS, which increases to sevenfold at 20 TPS, highlighting the advantages of Scale Up networks under increased communication pressure [4][14][15]. - **Future Demand**: As Scale Up demand becomes more apparent, segments such as **fiber optics**, **AEC**, and **switches** are expected to benefit significantly, driving market growth [9][28]. Additional Important Points - **Parallel Computing**: The evolution of computing paradigms is shifting towards GPU-based parallel computing, which includes various forms such as data parallelism and tensor parallelism, each with different communication frequency and data size requirements [11][12]. - **Network Expansion Needs**: The need for a second-layer network connection between cabinets is emphasized, with recommendations for using fiber optics and AEC to facilitate this expansion [4][23][24]. - **Market Trends**: The overall network connection growth rate is anticipated to outpace chip demand growth, benefiting the optical module and switch industries significantly [28][30]. - **Misconceptions in Market Understanding**: There is a prevalent misconception that Scale Up networks are limited to cabinet-level solutions, whereas they actually require larger networks composed of multiple cabinets to meet user TPS demands effectively [29][30]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the growth potential and strategic direction of the Scale Up network within the computing power industry.