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美媒彭博社:在美国最薄弱时才扣动扳机,中国确保一击有效
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 20:14
Group 1 - The article discusses a recent reduction in U.S. tariffs from 57% to 47%, which was exchanged for China pausing its rare earth export controls for one year. This agreement was reached before November and highlights China's strategic approach of engaging only when it can win [1][15]. - Rare earth elements are critical for various technologies, including electric vehicles and missile systems. China's selective export restrictions aim to create discomfort for the U.S. without causing a global collapse [1][9]. - The article emphasizes that the U.S. trade policies, particularly under Trump, have inadvertently strengthened China's position in the rare earth market, shifting China from a buyer to a price-setting role [3][11]. Group 2 - The article also highlights China's strategic moves in helium supply, noting that the U.S. previously controlled 90% of the global helium market. However, China has invested in Qatar's gas fields to reduce its dependency on U.S. helium, which has led to a significant decrease in U.S. market share [3][11]. - China's approach is characterized as a "waiting and striking" strategy, where it waits for the opponent to be in a chaotic state before taking action, thus minimizing risks and maximizing gains [7][11]. - The recycling of scrap steel has become increasingly significant, with a 30% increase in usage last year, leading to a negative growth in iron ore imports for the first time. This shift is impacting global mining companies negatively, particularly in Australia and Brazil [7][9]. Group 3 - The article suggests that China's actions are not merely reactive but part of a long-term strategy to reshape the pricing power and control over supply chains in the resource sector. This includes a gradual approach to rare earths, helium, and scrap steel recycling [9][11]. - The overall strategy is to create a firewall in the resource sector, reducing external risks while minimizing dependency on imports. This is achieved through a series of calculated moves rather than abrupt changes [11][15]. - The recent tariff reduction is seen as a result of U.S. pressure, indicating that the timing of actions in trade negotiations is crucial, with China holding the leverage to act when it deems most advantageous [15].