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期货收评:原油尾盘飙升,一度涨超4%!多晶硅盘中巨震
news flash· 2025-07-18 07:02
Group 1: Oil Market Dynamics - International oil prices experienced significant volatility, with a peak increase of over 4%, reaching a maximum of 549.4 yuan per barrel [6][8] - The rise in oil prices is attributed to expectations of marginal supply contraction and geopolitical risks affecting supply uncertainty, alongside a decrease in U.S. crude oil inventories [8] - OPEC+ is expected to continue increasing production, which may offset reductions in U.S. shale oil output, maintaining a balanced supply-demand scenario [8] Group 2: Polysilicon Market Trends - Polysilicon prices showed high volatility, with a trading range fluctuation of 6.67%, peaking at 46,000 yuan per ton before stabilizing above 43,000 yuan [2][4] - The average market price for polysilicon (N-type dense material) increased by 5.7 yuan per kilogram week-on-week, with production costs rising due to higher silicon powder prices [4] - Market sentiment for polysilicon remains positive, with expectations of continued strong performance despite potential overcapacity issues [5] Group 3: Lithium Carbonate Supply and Pricing - Lithium carbonate futures prices surged, with a peak increase of 4.32%, reflecting a recovery of over 15% from year-to-date lows [9][11] - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate rose to 65,000 yuan per ton, an increase of 8.52% from late June [11] - Supply disruptions due to regulatory actions against companies like Zangge Mining have contributed to price fluctuations, indicating a cautious market outlook [11]