Workflow
房价死扛不降
icon
Search documents
为什么房价死扛不降?曹德旺分析透彻,4个麻烦个个都很棘手
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 17:08
Group 1 - The domestic real estate market has entered a subtle stalemate since spring 2023, with weak transaction data and declining sales volume and area in the new housing market, while the second-hand housing market is experiencing a surge in listings, particularly in cities like Chongqing, Chengdu, and Shanghai [1][3] - Despite the sluggish market transactions, housing prices remain stable, with the average price of new residential properties in 100 cities at 16,179 yuan per square meter and second-hand residential properties nearing 15,746 yuan per square meter as of June 2023, indicating that purchasing a standard 100 square meter apartment requires at least 1.6 million yuan [3][4] Group 2 - The persistent high housing prices are attributed to their close ties with various industries and local government finances, as highlighted by entrepreneur Cao Dewang, indicating that a collapse in housing prices could trigger a chain reaction affecting the entire economy [4] - The long-term stability of high housing prices poses significant challenges, including exacerbating social wealth disparity, with property owners increasing their wealth while non-owners struggle to afford homes, which threatens social stability [6] - High housing prices are contributing to a declining birth rate, as many young people are deterred from marriage and childbirth due to financial burdens, with newborn numbers dropping from 17.65 million in 2017 to a projected under 8 million in 2023 [6][8] - The inability to lower housing prices is severely weakening consumer spending power, as individuals are forced to take on long-term mortgages, leaving them with limited disposable income for other expenditures [8][10] - Lastly, sustained high housing prices are leading to a prolonged downturn in the real economy, as funds are diverted to the real estate market, resulting in a lack of investment in the real economy, which could be revitalized if housing prices were to decline [10]