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美国经济亮起预警信号!家得宝(HD.US)提示消费疲软:下调全年盈利指引
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 13:24
Core Viewpoint - Home Depot's recent quarterly results showed lower-than-expected profits and same-store sales, attributed to a weak overall real estate market and reduced demand due to events like storms [1][5] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue increased by 2.8% year-over-year to $41.4 billion, slightly above market expectations [1] - Same-store sales grew by only 0.2%, falling short of the anticipated 1.4% [1] - Adjusted operating profit for Q3 was $5.35 billion, with an adjusted operating margin of 13.0% [5] - Adjusted non-GAAP earnings per share were $3.74, below market expectations of $3.83 and down from $4.67 year-over-year [5] - The company lowered its full-year earnings forecast, now expecting a 5% decline in adjusted earnings per share compared to the previous guidance of a 2% decline [5] Market Conditions - The U.S. real estate market remains stagnant, with high living costs and economic concerns hindering home purchases [6][7] - High interest rates have led many households to abandon plans for home buying and renovations, opting instead for smaller projects [7] - The company is experiencing its first sales slowdown in a decade, impacted by tariffs and rising costs [7] Consumer Behavior - Approximately 90% of Home Depot's DIY customers own their homes, but consumers across all income levels are hesitant to undertake large investment projects [6] - The company noted a decline in customer transactions, with a 1.6% drop in same-store transaction volume, while the average transaction value increased by 1.8% [1][5] - Despite a positive outlook for holiday shopping, overall consumer confidence is affected by high interest rates and employment issues [9]