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巨星科技(002444):巨星科技:经营性利润率环比提升,期待美国降息后地产需求修复
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 08:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 11.156 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.65%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.155 billion yuan, up 11.35% year-on-year. The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 4.129 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.80%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 882 million yuan, an increase of 18.96% year-on-year [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 11.156 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.155 billion yuan and a non-recurring net profit of 2.035 billion yuan. In Q3 2025, the revenue was 4.129 billion yuan, with a net profit of 882 million yuan and a non-recurring net profit of 781 million yuan [2][6]. Market Conditions - The slight year-on-year decline in Q3 revenue is attributed to weaker demand in Europe and the US, with US tool consumption down 6.5% in August due to high interest rates affecting home sales and inflation suppressing consumer demand. The company expects new product launches in 2025 to support overall revenue [12]. Profitability - The gross margin for Q3 was 35%, continuing to improve due to the scale effect of overseas production capacity. The operating profit margin, excluding financial expenses, investment income, and asset impairment losses, reached 15.4%, up from 13.8% in Q2, indicating strong profitability [12]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that a decrease in interest rates in the US will significantly stimulate real estate and tool demand. The expected performance for 2025-2027 is projected at 2.611 billion, 3.267 billion, and 3.919 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 15, 12, and 10 times [12].