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“人造肉第一股”千亿市值毁灭:过去10年假科技盛行的一个缩影
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-21 03:01
Core Insights - Beyond Meat has experienced a dramatic decline in market value, dropping from a peak of $20 billion in 2021 to less than $200 million today, representing a 99% loss [1] - The plant-based meat market has only seen a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% over the past decade, which is insufficient for a product expected to disrupt the traditional meat market [3] - The high production costs of plant-based meat, exceeding $7 per kilogram, compared to $6 for beef, $2.5 for pork, and $2 for chicken, significantly hinder its competitiveness in the market [4] Market Dynamics - The slow growth of the plant-based meat market is attributed to its high costs, making it a niche product in a market dominated by traditional meat producers [4] - The past decade has seen a trend of "fake technology," where advancements have not led to the expected cost reductions in plant-based meat production, unlike other sectors such as e-commerce and renewable energy [6] - The environmental movement has driven interest in plant-based meat, but the lack of scalable cost reductions has led to disillusionment among investors [6][12] Technological Stagnation - The stagnation in technological advancements over the past 50 years has limited breakthroughs in agricultural productivity and livestock breeding, contributing to the high costs of meat production [10][16] - The concept of resource scarcity has been a driving force behind the push for alternative protein sources, such as insect-based proteins, which are seen as more sustainable and cost-effective [12][13] Future Outlook - Bill Gates has shifted his focus from plant-based meat to insect protein, which has a production cost closer to $2 per kilogram, indicating a potential new direction for sustainable protein sources [12][13] - The search for breakthroughs in agricultural technology continues, with hopes for a "ChatGPT moment" in the physical world to overcome resource constraints [16]