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迎接“十五五”:科创时代的银行新范式
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-17 12:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the banking industry [1] Core Insights - The banking industry is undergoing a transformation driven by changes in the real economy and the shift towards high-quality development, which necessitates a new financial paradigm that addresses high uncertainty rather than just information asymmetry [33][34] - The demand from the real economy is evolving, with traditional sectors like infrastructure and real estate declining, while high-tech industries are emerging as the main drivers of future banking demand [22][25] - The integration of investment banking, asset management, and wealth management is becoming crucial for banks to adapt to the new financial landscape and provide comprehensive services to clients [83][87] Summary by Sections 1) Industry Transformation and Upgrading - Since the second half of the 20th century, global economic growth has been largely driven by technological advancements and the release of production factors, leading to a phenomenon of industrial gradient transfer between countries [4] - The demand from the real economy has historically aligned with bank credit supply, with overseas demand, real estate, and infrastructure investment being significant drivers of China's economic growth [9][10] 2) Financial Paradigm Shift - The financial paradigm is shifting from addressing information asymmetry to managing high uncertainty, particularly for technology-driven enterprises [33][34] - Traditional financing models focused on debt financing are evolving towards a combination of equity and debt financing, emphasizing the importance of banks participating in the growth of innovative companies [43][46] 3) "Investment Banking-Asset Management-Wealth Management" Synergy - The traditional banking model is under pressure, prompting a strategic shift towards investment banking and asset management, which are seen as key areas for growth and profitability [83][87] - The report highlights the importance of a multi-tiered financial market to support technology enterprises, facilitating flexible and efficient financing solutions [41][43] 4) From Departmental Banking to Process Banking - The traditional organizational structure of banks is facing challenges, necessitating a transition to a process-oriented approach that focuses on customer-centric services [103][105] - Banks need to optimize their business processes and risk management systems to better serve technology enterprises and adapt to the evolving financial landscape [105]