拨备覆盖率回升
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宁波银行(002142):业绩平稳提速,拨备持续夯实,静待成长标杆归来
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-10-28 07:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Ningbo Bank, with a projected price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.79 times for 2025 [6]. Core Insights - Ningbo Bank's revenue for the first nine months of 2025 reached 55 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.3% year-on-year growth, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 22.4 billion yuan, up 8.4% year-on-year [4][6]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.76% quarter-on-quarter, with the provision coverage ratio improving by 2 percentage points to 376% [4][6]. - The bank's interest income continued to improve, with a year-on-year growth of 11.8% in the first nine months of 2025, contributing significantly to revenue growth [6][7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for Ningbo Bank are as follows: 2025E at 71.44 billion yuan, 2026E at 79.01 billion yuan, and 2027E at 87.18 billion yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 7.22%, 10.59%, and 10.34% [5]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is 29.48 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.66% [5]. - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 12.96% in 2025, with a gradual increase in subsequent years [5]. Loan Growth and Asset Quality - In the third quarter of 2025, loans grew by 17.9% year-on-year, with corporate loans contributing significantly to this growth [6][9]. - The bank's proactive measures to reduce low-yielding bill assets have led to a stabilization in asset yield decline, with a slight decrease of 5 basis points in the third quarter of 2025 [6][9]. - The report highlights a steady decline in the NPL generation rate, which is expected to remain below market expectations, with a projected annualized NPL generation rate of 0.7% for 2025 [6][9].