支撑增长

Search documents
【财经分析】澳大利亚央行年内或再降息两次
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 00:56
Group 1 - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced its second interest rate cut of the year, aligning with market expectations, and analysts predict two more cuts may follow [1][2] - The RBA's decision to cut rates is driven by concerns over weak economic growth and inflation data indicating a moderation in inflationary pressures, with the first quarter's trimmed mean inflation rate at 2.9%, entering the RBA's target range for the first time since 2021 [2][3] - Recent economic indicators show resilience in the Australian economy, with the unemployment rate stable at 4.1%, a quarterly wage price index increase of 0.9%, and a slight rise in consumer confidence to 92.1 points [2] Group 2 - The RBA expressed a cautious stance regarding future rate cuts, highlighting uncertainties related to global trade and geopolitical factors that could negatively impact economic growth, employment, and inflation [3][4] - The RBA has revised its inflation forecasts downward, with the overall inflation rate expected to be 2.1% compared to a previous estimate of 2.4%, indicating a shift in focus from anti-inflation measures to supporting economic growth [4][5] - Analysts anticipate multiple rate cuts in the future, with predictions of cuts in August and November, potentially lowering the benchmark rate to 3.35% by year-end [5][6]