多位机构人士认为，煤炭板块中期仍具备配置价值，但需关注进口煤增量及煤价变化等变量。 对此，晨星（中国）基金研究中心高级分析师代景霞向《证券日报》记者分析称，三大因素构成主要支撑：一是在利率走 低的背景下，煤炭行业作为高股息资产的代表，其配置价值再次受到重视，使得部分资金转向煤炭板块；二是政策鼓励上市公 司加大分红，煤炭板块有望增加分红频次、提高分红比例，高股息、高分红的确定性增强；三是供需格局边际改善，随着前期 煤炭价格的持续下行，部分煤矿主动或被动减产，国内供应边际下滑，而需求端随着夏季用电高峰的到来，供需双向调整下， 市场对煤价底部支撑的信心明显增强。 尽管煤炭板块中期逻辑未变，但短期涨幅已引发对回调风险的讨论。 深圳市前海排排网基金销售有限责任公司研究部副总监刘有华表示，煤炭板块周期性特征显著，当前需关注两大风险点： 从市场表现来看，部分投资者选择在相对高位兑现收益，这一获利了结行为加剧了板块波动，特别是在价格逼近前期高点或关 键阻力位时，回调风险更为显著；与此同时，尽管当前煤炭价格具备较强支撑，但考虑到其持续处于高位运行状态，叠加季节 性因素影响，价格存在阶段性调整的可能。 为应对潜在波动，刘有华认为 ...

Core Viewpoint - Despite the impact of the U.S. "reciprocal tariffs" on global capital markets since April, the domestic convertible bond market has shown overall stability, highlighting its defensive and offensive characteristics, with some convertible bonds recently reaching historical highs [1][3]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - Since April, the domestic convertible bond market has demonstrated resilience amid global market volatility, with the China Securities Convertible Bond Index experiencing a significant drop of 4.05% on April 7, marking its largest single-day decline of the year, yet this was less severe than the declines in the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices, indicating a defensive nature [3][4]. Recovery and Growth - Following the market rebound starting April 8, many convertible bonds have regained their losses, showcasing their offensive potential. Over 400 convertible bonds have risen since April 8, with more than 40 bonds increasing by over 10%, including notable performers like Fuxin Convertible Bond and Zhongqi Convertible Bond, which saw increases exceeding 20% [4]. Historical Highs - Several convertible bonds have recently reached historical highs, such as Zhongqi Convertible Bond, which surpassed 300 CNY per share, achieving a cumulative increase of 29.43% since April 8 and 149.62% year-to-date [5]. Zhongchong Convertible Bond also approached 200 CNY per share, with a cumulative increase of 36.45% since April 8 and 42.89% year-to-date [7]. Zhenhua Convertible Bond reached a price of 197.981 CNY per share, with a cumulative increase of 24% since April 8 and over 40% year-to-date [9]. Redemption Risks - Despite the overall stability of the convertible bond market compared to equities, there are risks associated with specific terms, such as early redemption clauses. For instance, Huisheng Convertible Bond faced significant declines due to triggering its conditional redemption clause, dropping over 40% from its high of 248 CNY per share since April 7 [12][14]. Similar situations have been observed with Bojie Convertible Bond, which has seen a nearly 20% decline since April due to early redemption [14].