• 盈利稳：银行、公用事业、电信运营商这类龙头，就算经济波动也能赚钱； • 分红稳：国央企市值管理新政鼓励分红，分红手续费还降了，政策托底明显。 上海的陈先生去年买了某电信央企股票，除了每年 5.3% 的分红，股价还涨了 12%，算下来年化收益 17%。他说："比存款赚得多，风险比炒股小，适合不 想操心的普通人。" 公募 REITs 也是好选择。保障房类 REITs 股息率普遍 3%-4%，底层是收租金的实物资产，相当于 "买了个能收租的门面"，比存款灵活，收益还更高。 10 年期国债收益率跌到 1.6%，国有大行 3 年定存利率破 2%，货币基金收益连创新低。 数据很扎心：居民存款单月新增 1.8 万亿元，大家都在把钱往银行搬。但另一面，北向资金单周净流入 230 亿元，社保基金悄悄加仓两类资产 —— 高股息 股票和长久期成长标的。 不是存钱错了，是只存钱会亏。低利率时代，钱躺在银行里，每年实际购买力都在缩水。聪明钱早就看懂：与其赚 1.5% 的利息，不如布局能穿越周期的核 心资产。 1. 高股息资产：5%+ 收益的 "类存款" 替代品 利率越低，稳定分红越香。中证红利指数现在股息率 5.16%，比 3 年 ...

伴随着资金布局脚步加速，交易所数据显示，自9月16日以来，红利ETF（510880）基金规模在历 经连续五个交易日抬升后，最新规模达194.76亿元，创下近三月以来新高，也是全市场为数不多的超百 亿元的红利主题ETF。此外，截至9月22日，A股市场另一只仅有的两百亿级红利主题ETF——红利低波 ETF（512890）最新规模达202.27亿元。 面对当前板块内部轮动加剧与长期低利率的投资环境，市场资金的避险情绪与追求更高确定性收益 来源的配置需求或正在逐步升温，股息回报整体稳定、资产质量较优的红利类资产长期配置逻辑仍然相 对清晰，兼具规模与流动性优势的红利ETF（510880）、红利低波ETF（512890）有望成为资金进行底 仓配置或哑铃布局的重要方向之一。 根据最新披露的2025年基金中期报告，红利ETF（510880）最新持有人户数达42.18万户，是同期 全市场仅有的持有人户数超40万户的红利主题ETF；红利低波ETF（512890）的联接基金（包括A类 007466，C类007467，I类022678，Y类022951）累计持有人户数116.31万户，也是同期市场仅有的持有 人户数超100万户的红利 ...

华宝基金 红利情报局 2025.9.24 Q 风险偏好修复期如何看高股息? 热点动态 新国补或利好中高端白色家电发展 华西证券指出:尽管第三批国补资金陆续下达,但部分省市 += リナーナー -- 1-11-1 -1 齿填补上半年补贴缺口寺齿索,向末重启活动,已经恢复活 动的部分地区仍存在抢券难的现象,第三批资金尚未完全缓 解地方压力,随着第四批补贴逐步释放,或将释放全国层面 补贴资金的流动性。随着国补资源稀缺性增强,品牌或从全 面覆盖转向精准投放,倾向于将资源投向中高端产品,补贴 降低中高端机型的购买门槛,拉动产品结构升级,提升品牌 整体均价及盈利能力。 风险偏好修复期,或可关注周期型与潜力型红利 华泰证券指出,市场风险偏好修复仍是短期制约高股息资产 相对收益的重要因素. 2025年或可继续关注建议关注"反内 卷"相关周期型红利(化工、钢铁等),及部分潜力型红利(铁 路公路、白酒、食品加工等)。 11 行业股息龙虎榜-股息率前五板块 || (近12月股息率) 白色家电 煤炭开采 股份制银行II 4.98% 5.19% 5.02% 炼化及贸易 农商行II 4.63% 4 66% 数据来源:华西证券、华泰证券、胶 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Gree Electric Appliances with a target price of 54.10 CNY [5][7]. Core Insights - The expected dividend yield for 2025 exceeds 7%, indicating strong value characteristics. The current expected dividend yield is 7.7% based on a profit forecast of 33 billion CNY and a 52% cash dividend rate [2][5]. - Historical data shows that the company has had a dividend yield above 7% for approximately 31% of the time from 2013 to 2024, typically corresponding to valuation bottoms [2]. - The company has seen a resilient online retail growth, with a 21% year-on-year increase in August, compared to a 2% growth in the industry [3]. - Gree Electric is accelerating its expansion in Southeast Asia, with a significant increase in its market share from 30% to 80% in the region [4]. Summary by Sections Dividend and Profitability - The projected dividend per share for 2025 is 2.86 CNY, with a cash dividend rate of 7.2% [15]. - The company’s net profit for 2025 is estimated at 33 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 2.63% [6]. Revenue and Growth - The expected revenue for 2025 is 194.89 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 2.55% [6]. - The company’s online retail price has increased, benefiting from a reduction in the proportion of low-priced air conditioning sales [3]. Market Position and Strategy - Gree Electric has shifted its operational model in Thailand to a localized subsidiary approach, enhancing market responsiveness [4]. - The company has successfully positioned itself against Japanese brands in Indonesia, indicating strong competitive capabilities [4]. Financial Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 5.90 CNY, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7 [6][15]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 22.88% in 2025, reflecting strong profitability [14].

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing increased volatility, particularly within the technology growth sector, leading to a rise in defensive demand as trading sentiment declines ahead of the upcoming holiday [1] - Since mid-August, high-dividend assets have gained attractiveness, with the Dividend ETF (510880) becoming a key focus for capital allocation [1] - The Dividend ETF (510880) has seen significant trading volume, with an average daily trading volume of 930 million yuan from September 18 to 19, doubling compared to the average daily trading volume since the beginning of the year [1] Group 2 - The Dividend ETF (510880) has reached a new high in fund size of 19.468 billion yuan, making it one of the few dividend-themed ETFs exceeding 10 billion yuan [2] - The low-volatility dividend ETF (512890) has also achieved a fund size of 20.348 billion yuan as of September 19 [2] - The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to benefit both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, potentially leading to a structural market rally [2] Group 3 - The Dividend ETF (510880) has a holder count of 421,800, making it the only dividend-themed ETF with over 400,000 holders in the market [3] - The low-volatility dividend ETF (512890) and its linked funds have a combined holder count of 1.1631 million, also making it a significant player in the market [3] Group 4 - The Dividend ETF (510880) has distributed over 4 billion yuan in dividends since its inception, with a total of 42.98 billion yuan in cumulative dividends [4] - The fund has been operational for 18 years and has distributed dividends 18 times [4] Group 5 - Huatai-PB Fund, a pioneer in ETF management, has over 18 years of experience in dividend-themed index investments, managing a total of 42.444 billion yuan across its dividend-themed ETFs [5] - The "Dividend Family" includes multiple ETFs, such as the Dividend ETF (510880) and the low-volatility dividend ETF (512890) [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The construction industry is experiencing revenue and profit pressure, but recovery momentum is gradually accumulating under supportive policies [4][8] - In the first half of 2025, the construction sector achieved revenue of 3.97 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.02%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 91.5 billion yuan, down 6.60% year-on-year [4][8] - Despite the overall decline, the gap between revenue and net profit growth rates has narrowed significantly compared to the first half of 2024, indicating a temporary easing of profit pressure [4][8] - The issuance of 4.4 trillion yuan in special bonds and ongoing investment stabilization policies are expected to gradually open up profit recovery space for the sector [4][8] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction sector's revenue growth is slowing, with profits under pressure. In the first half of 2025, the sector's revenue decreased by 6.02% year-on-year, while net profit fell by 6.60% [8] - The revenue growth rate has declined by 3.04 percentage points compared to the first half of 2024, but the net profit growth rate has improved by 2.77 percentage points [8] - The overall gross margin for the construction sector in the first half of 2025 was 10.02%, down 0.16 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 2.87%, down 0.04 percentage points [13] Subsector Performance - The performance of subsectors is mixed, with the steel structure sector showing revenue growth of 2.02%, driven by overseas industrial building orders [4][32] - The landscaping sector and chemical engineering saw significant profit growth, with net profits increasing by 70.48% and 19.81% respectively [4][32] - The gross margin improvements are concentrated in landscaping, chemical engineering, and international engineering, while the net margin for steel structures and central enterprises has declined [34] Central Enterprises and Orders - In the first half of 2025, the nine major central construction enterprises signed new orders totaling 7.79 trillion yuan, a slight increase of 0.17% year-on-year, despite an overall industry decline [4][56] - The central enterprises' new orders in overseas markets grew by 16.35% year-on-year, becoming a significant support for order structure optimization [56] - The valuation of central enterprises remains low, with expected PE ratios around 5 times and PB ratios below 0.5 times, indicating strong shareholder returns [59]

Market Overview - On September 19, the A-share market experienced a volatile adjustment, with all three major indices declining. Over 3,400 stocks fell while more than 1,900 stocks rose, indicating a prominent structural market trend with significant rotation [1][2] - The market's trading volume was 2.35 trillion yuan, marking the 28th consecutive trading day with volumes exceeding 2 trillion yuan, reflecting active trading [2] Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.30% this week, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext indices rose by 1.14% and 2.34%, respectively. The coal, electric equipment, and electronics sectors led the gains [1][3] - On September 19, the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component, ChiNext Index, and other indices showed slight declines, with the Shanghai 50 Index down by 0.11% and the CSI 300 Index up by 0.08% [1][2] Sector Performance - The coal sector saw significant gains, with Huayang Co. rising over 7%, and other companies like Lu'an Environmental Energy and Jinkong Coal also increasing by over 5% [3] - In the non-ferrous metals sector, Ganfeng Lithium hit the daily limit, with its Hong Kong stock rising over 9%. The company is actively developing solid-state batteries for electric vehicles and drones [3] - The AI computing and robotics sectors, which previously led the market, experienced a pullback, indicating a normal rotation of profit-taking [3][6] Fund Flow Analysis - On September 19, the net outflow of main funds from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 685.51 billion yuan, with 1,700 stocks experiencing net inflows and 3,448 stocks seeing net outflows [4][5] - The cautious sentiment among main funds continued, with net outflows recorded for five consecutive trading days, totaling over 3.8 billion yuan on September 15-18 [5] Investment Strategy - Analysts suggest that the A-share market is likely to continue its upward trend, although short-term volatility should be monitored. The changing market volume is a crucial observation signal [6] - Investment recommendations include focusing on technology sectors (AI, semiconductors) for aggressive strategies, while defensive strategies should consider pharmaceuticals and new consumption sectors [6]

2、在政策观察期内，重点观察资金面行为，进入9月，随着股债性价比回落到中位数，股债大体均衡位 置，资金流入分歧加大，在股市局部板块估值过高下，以大股东、高管等内部人的资金行为值得重视， 9月以来截至到17日的13个交易日中，高管减持已经创下减持新规以来的历史高位，减持资金的流出， 心理层面打击了投资者的信心，可能使得市场上涨动能减弱。（数据来源：wind，东方财富网） 3、面对这一局面，投资者应当保持一定的谨慎，谨慎考虑部分估值过高、减持压力较大的板块。同 时，可考虑增加对红利、高股息低位板块的关注。 昨晚美联储降息25个基点到4%至4.25%之间的水平。这是美联储2025年的首次降息，同时最新点阵图预 测，联邦基金利率中值到今年年末将降至3.6%，今年年内还有两次降息，年内合计降息或达75个基 点。整体来看，降息符合预期，降息兑现落地后，对各类资产的影响暂告一段路，我们此前提及降息落 地后对于部分price in降息比较充分的资产短期有一定波动，从昨日黄金、美债、美股和今日的港股来 看，市场确实表现了一定的波动性，往后看各类资产需要在降息外寻找其他驱动因素。（数据来源： Wind） 回到国内，近期公布的诸多 ...

大举买入太保H股 券商中国记者查询到，9月11日，中国平安买入7780.92万股中国太保H股，场内交易均价为每股33.043港元，场外交易均价约 为每股31.23港元。经估算，此次买入耗资约25亿港元。 本次交易后，中国平安对中国太保H股的持股数量达到3.13亿股，持股比例从此前的8.47%大幅升至11.28%，其中，平安人寿 持股比例达到10.17%。 中国平安对中国太保的买入始于今年8月，至今已持续一个多月。8月8日，中国平安买入174.14万股中国太保H股，持股比例 升至5.04%，自此拉开了这一轮"保险投资保险"的序幕。 此后，中国平安持续买入。8月28日，中国平安旗下平安人寿、平安财险合计增持中国太保H股1072.02万股，每股均价35.6922 港元。此次投资后，中国平安持有中国太保H股数量达到2.23亿股，持股比例升至8.02%。 扫货银行股的同时，中国平安对保险股也开启"买买买"模式。 港交所数据显示，9月11日，中国平安买入7780.92万股中国太保H股，对太保H股持股比例达到11.28%。这是继8月突破5%举 牌线后进一步突破10%门槛。 券商中国记者梳理发现，中国平安对银行股的买入也未止 ...

今日市场探底回升，截至收盘三大指数小幅收涨。盘面上热点较为散乱，市场全天成交2.3万亿，较前 一交易日小幅放量，两市上涨个股超3600只。 盘面上，机器人产业链掀起涨停潮，三花智控、双环传动等多股涨停。消息面上，广东发文支持AI融 合机器人开辟玩具新市场，探索"AI+玩具+机器人"跨界融合模式；宇树科技、国网杭州供电等签署"电 力+具身智能"框架合作协议。 其他热点方面，牛市旗手券商股午后异动，600亿龙头首创证券冲击涨停；物流、统一大市场概念领 涨，供销大集、丽人丽妆等多股涨停；受中美就TikTok问题达成基本框架共识刺激，抖音、小红书概念 集体冲高，省广集团等涨停；低价股表现活跃，上海建工3连板；房地产、消费电子、多元金融、服装 家纺、脑机接口等方向均飘红。 跌幅方面，有色金属板块持续回调，豫光金铅跌幅居前；猪肉、鸡肉、养殖业板块走低，天域生物跌 停；固态电池板块展开调整，盐湖提锂板块震荡下行，久吾高科领跌；保险股再度走弱。 从个股看，两市上涨3629家，下跌1689家，111家涨幅持平。两市共89股涨停，共7股跌停。 截至收盘，沪指涨0.04%报3861.87点，成交9898亿元；深成指涨0.45%报1 ...