Core Viewpoint - The ongoing government shutdown, now in its 15th day, is likely to extend into November, with increasing pressure on lawmakers to reach a resolution as the Thanksgiving travel season approaches [1][2]. Group 1: Government Shutdown Duration and Impacts - Analysts have raised their predictions for the duration of the government shutdown, suggesting it could last at least until November 4, due to a lack of negotiation or compromise between parties [2][3]. - The economic cost of the shutdown is significant, with estimates suggesting it could be costing the U.S. economy up to $15 billion per day [2][3]. - If the shutdown continues into mid-November, it could become the longest in U.S. history, surpassing the previous record of 34 days set in 2018 [5]. Group 2: Legislative and Political Dynamics - There is a growing consensus that the need for farmer relief and healthcare subsidy extensions will force Republicans and Democrats to negotiate [3][4]. - The end of October marks critical deadlines related to military pay and healthcare enrollment, which may act as a catalyst for negotiations [4][5]. - The potential impact on the Thanksgiving travel season is a significant concern, with warnings of increased flight cancellations and delays if the shutdown persists [5].