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建信期货多晶硅日报-20250722
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-22 01:53
Report Information - Date: July 22, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [3] Market Performance and Outlook - The price of the main polycrystalline silicon contract continued to be strong The closing price of PS2509 was 45,660 yuan/ton, up 3.36%, with a trading volume of 621,314 lots and an open interest of 172,057 lots, a net increase of 16,518 lots [4] - Despite signs of resistance such as exchange limits and a sharp decline in trading volume last week, policy support since last Friday continued to stimulate strong expectations in the commodity market The commodity index filled the gap in early April and strengthened collectively The main polycrystalline silicon contract opened higher and then fluctuated strongly, highlighting the game between policy and capital The spot price continued to show a large range difference, and the transaction range of polycrystalline silicon N-type re-feeding materials was between 40,000 and 49,000 yuan, mainly because each enterprise quoted comprehensively based on its own full cost The supply-demand fundamentals have not improved and are not the main driving logic at present The futures price fluctuated strongly with reference to the spot price range as market sentiment fermented under policy stimulus [4] Market News - On July 21, the number of polycrystalline silicon warehouse receipts was 2,780 lots, unchanged from the previous trading day [5] - In the third week of July, the transaction price range of polycrystalline silicon N-type re-feeding materials was 40,000 - 49,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 41,700 yuan/ton, a week-on-week increase of 12.4% The transaction price range of N-type granular silicon was 40,000 - 45,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 41,000 yuan/ton, a week-on-week increase of 15.2% [5] - On July 18, the State Council Information Office held a press conference, where Xie Shaofeng, the Chief Engineer of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, introduced the industrial and information technology development in the first half of 2025 Work plans for stabilizing growth in ten key industries such as steel, non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and building materials are即将 to be introduced The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will promote key industries to adjust their structures, optimize supply, and eliminate backward production capacity [5]