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基康技术(920879):交通、水利等需求带动同环比稳健增长,有望受益于十五五长期规划
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-10-29 05:08
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from stable growth driven by demand in transportation, water conservancy, and other sectors, in line with the "14th Five-Year Plan" [5][6] - The company is positioned as a leader in the engineering safety monitoring niche, with anticipated long-term growth from key projects like the Yajiang Hydropower and the implementation of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 265 million yuan (up 14% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 54.26 million yuan (up 16% year-on-year) [9] - The revenue for Q3 2025 was 97 million yuan (up 15% year-on-year and up 8% quarter-on-quarter), with a net profit of 21.92 million yuan (up 19% year-on-year and up 71% quarter-on-quarter) [9] - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 329 million yuan in 2023 to 527 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14.41% [8] - The net profit is expected to increase from 73 million yuan in 2023 to 130 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 16.63% [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.55 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 43.7 [6][8] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 12.94% in 2024 to 18.67% in 2027 [8] Business Development and Market Position - The company has established a presence in Tibet to capture opportunities in major engineering projects and has launched an upgraded product, the BGK4500U pore pressure gauge, which meets international standards [9] - The company is actively involved in various sectors including hydropower, nuclear power, and transportation, with significant growth in contract amounts and revenue compared to the previous year [9]