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消费者服务行业双周报(2025/11/21-2025/12/4):文旅部将从供需两端发力,着力上新-20251205
Dongguan Securities· 2025-12-05 09:12
Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Overweight" indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [31]. Core Insights - The recent favorable developments in the cultural and tourism sector include the acquisition of Junting Hotel by Hubei state-owned assets and strategic cooperation between Hunan Broadcasting and Zhangjiajie City, indicating increased state investment in the sector [31]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and other departments have issued a plan to enhance the adaptability of supply and demand for consumer goods, aiming to optimize the supply structure by 2027 and promote high-quality consumer products [19][21]. - The report suggests a gradual recovery in supply and demand in the cultural and tourism industry in the long term, while short-term focus should be on themes like ice and snow tourism and duty-free shopping [31]. Summary by Sections Market Review - From November 21 to December 4, 2025, the CITIC Consumer Services Industry Index experienced a slight decline of 0.73%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by approximately 0.33 percentage points [7]. - The performance of sub-sectors varied, with comprehensive services and tourism leisure declining by 2.72% and 1.76%, respectively, while the hotel and catering sector increased by 2.52% [8]. - Among listed companies, 20 achieved positive returns, with the top five performers being China High-Tech, Tongqinglou, Junting Hotel, Fangzhi Technology, and Kede Education, showing increases of 33.10%, 11.65%, 10.69%, 6.74%, and 5.47% respectively [11]. - The overall PE (TTM) for the CITIC Consumer Services Industry was approximately 37.5160 times, remaining stable compared to the previous period [14]. Industry News - The report highlights significant news, including the issuance of a plan by the National Development and Reform Commission to enhance consumer goods supply and demand adaptability [19]. - Tuniu's winter tourism trend forecast indicates a peak in winter travel around New Year's, winter vacation, and Spring Festival, suggesting a release of consumer potential through staggered travel [23]. - Hunan Broadcasting and Zhangjiajie City have signed a strategic cooperation agreement, with plans for the Duyong Ancient City to open in July 2026 [24]. Company Announcements - Junting Hotel announced a share acquisition by Hubei Cultural Tourism at a price of 25.71 yuan per share, which will result in Hubei Cultural Tourism controlling 36.00% of the company post-transaction [26]. - Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism's subsidiary plans to acquire 100% of Jinxiu Lianhua Mountain Scenic Area Development Co., Ltd. for approximately 344.56 million yuan [27]. - Emei Mountain A announced a shareholder reward activity offering discounts and free services to shareholders holding 500 shares or more [29].