新型硬件

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2025H2新型硬件展望:从科技树节点,看新型硬件
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-06-09 07:39
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of hardware-software innovation axes, predicting significant advancements in new hardware technologies by 2025H2, with a focus on both short-term and long-term investment opportunities [4][20] - Key short-term opportunities include GPU+HPM, optical devices, silicon photonics, lidar, automotive chips, RoboVan, and AI glasses, while long-term innovations are deemed more critical [4][20] - The report highlights the 2B market opportunities in optical devices, silicon photonics, GPU, and high-end products, alongside 2C market opportunities in automotive, RoboVan, wearables, and bio-electronic interactive devices [4][20] Summary by Sections 1. Hardware-Software Innovation Axes - The report discusses the "hardware Y-software X" axis as a framework for predicting new hardware innovations, linking technological advancements from 2022H2 to 2025H2 [4][20] - It identifies the need for a focus on architecture innovation and "physical-chemical-biological AI" as critical elements for future hardware development [4][20] 2. Market Opportunities - The 2B market is characterized by opportunities in optical devices, silicon photonics, and high-end GPUs, while the 2C market includes automotive technologies, RoboVan, wearables, and bio-electronic devices [4][20] - The report notes that the optical device opportunities arise from the MoE architecture, which differs from simple computational upgrades under the "Scaling Law" [4][20] 3. Underestimated Factors - The report points out two often-overlooked factors: architecture innovation and the integration of physical-chemical-biological AI, which are crucial for the advancement of new hardware [4][20] 4. Representative Companies - The report lists several companies as representative in the new hardware space, including: - Optical devices: NewEase, Zhongji Xuchuang, Huagong Technology, Changguang Huaxin - Lidar: Hesai Technology (US), Suteng Juchuang (HK) - AR+AI glasses: Hongjing Optoelectronics, Crystal Optoelectronics, Hongsoft Technology, GoerTek, Xiaomi Group (HK) - Advanced semiconductor processes and GPUs: SMIC, Muxi Integration, Suiyuan Technology, Haiguang Information, Cambrian [6][20]