新能源与新材料协同发展

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2025高工新能源新材料产业大会直击②:锂电H1 40%增速超预期,多元材料“蓝海”浮现
高工锂电· 2025-07-09 10:04
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese lithium battery industry chain experienced an unexpected growth in the first half of 2025, with an overall growth rate exceeding 40% and a significant increase in battery shipments and storage segments [1][7]. Industry Growth - In the first half of 2025, the total shipment of lithium batteries reached 750-760 GWh, with a year-on-year growth rate of 60%-65%. The storage segment saw a remarkable quarter-on-quarter increase of over 80% and a year-on-year growth rate exceeding 110% [1][7]. - The demand for upstream materials has diversified, with shipments of lithium iron phosphate materials increasing by nearly 70% year-on-year, and key components such as anodes, separators, and electrolytes also showing strong growth [2][7]. Material Trends - The industry is shifting from traditional high-cost performance competition to a high-performance differentiation path, leading to a new ecosystem where various materials flourish [3][7]. - In the materials sector, the shipment of cathode materials reached 205-215 million tons, with a year-on-year growth of 50%-55%. Lithium iron phosphate materials led the growth with a year-on-year increase of 65%-70% [7]. - The gross profit margins in the materials industry are showing signs of recovery, although some segments are experiencing differentiation in profitability [7]. Market Dynamics - The market concentration is on the rise, with top-tier companies gradually restoring their market power and profitability. A new round of capacity expansion for lithium iron phosphate and anode materials is expected [8]. - The price of lithium salts is projected to remain in the range of 60,000-80,000 yuan, with limited potential for further decline or increase [9]. Technological Innovations - New materials such as CVD silicon-carbon are being commercialized, with significant applications in digital lithium batteries and high-performance requirements [9][30]. - The industry is witnessing a trend towards larger and more energy-efficient equipment, with advancements in various manufacturing processes [9][31]. Global Competition - The passage of the Inflation Reduction Act and the delay of the new battery law in the U.S. have complex implications for the global competitiveness of Chinese companies [10]. - China has established a leading position in green low-carbon technologies, including photovoltaic, wind power, electric vehicles, and fuel cells, showcasing strong market share [26][27].