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联化科技(002250):业绩符合预期 新能源化学品盈利有望修复
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 02:35
Core Viewpoint - The company has reported strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit, indicating a positive outlook for its business segments [1]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.718 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.25%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 316 million yuan, up 871.78% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit reached 300 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1504.77% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.569 billion yuan, which is a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.34%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 92 million yuan, down 47.26% quarter-on-quarter, and the non-recurring net profit was 91 million yuan, down 43.06% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Development Trends - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has increased significantly, from 49,300 yuan per ton in July to 99,000 yuan per ton by October 27. Similarly, the price of lithium bis(fluorosulfonyl)imide (LIFSI) rose from 67,500 yuan per ton in mid-September to 72,000 yuan per ton [2]. - The company has a planned production capacity of 20,000 tons per year for lithium hexafluorophosphate and 10,000 tons per year for LIFSI. The previous low prices had limited the company's production capacity in the new energy chemical business, but the recent price increases are expected to improve profitability [2]. Industry Outlook - The agricultural and pharmaceutical sectors are expected to continue their upward trend. The company's major client, FMC, has consistently exceeded earnings expectations, and the agricultural chemical market is entering a new growth cycle as inventory levels normalize [3]. - The company has acquired a 20% stake in its subsidiary, JunTai Pharmaceutical, for 25 million yuan, which has a production capacity of 100 tons for a key intermediate in pharmaceuticals. The ongoing development of the company's pharmaceutical CDMO business is anticipated to yield positive results [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 500 million yuan and 620 million yuan, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 22.2x for 2025 and 17.8x for 2026 [4]. - The target price is set at 14.0 yuan, maintaining an "outperform industry" rating, which corresponds to a P/E ratio of 25.6x for 2025 and 20.5x for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 15.5% from the current stock price [4].