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9月第4期:延续分化
Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan· 2025-09-29 14:12
Group 1 - The market shows valuation differentiation, with the Sci-Tech 50 and ChiNext Index performing the best, while consumer and stable indices lag behind [9][12] - The overall market ERP has decreased and is near the negative one standard deviation level since 2021 [2][18] - The performance of major indices is mixed, with the Sci-Tech 50 and ChiNext Index leading, while the consumer sector and the National 2000 Index show the weakest performance [9][12] Group 2 - Valuation changes across industries are evident, with power equipment and non-ferrous metals leading in gains, while social services and retail sectors perform the weakest [12][33] - The relative PE of the ChiNext Index to the CSI 300 has increased, indicating a rise in growth expectations [17] - The overall valuation of major indices is at a high percentile compared to the past year, with the Sci-Tech 50 showing particularly high valuations [24][25] Group 3 - The current valuation of the financial and real estate sectors is above the 50% historical percentile, while materials, equipment manufacturing, and technology sectors are at or below the 50% level [26] - The lowest valuations are found in the non-bank financial, agriculture, and food and beverage sectors, which are at their lowest in the past year [33][36] - The semiconductor and technology sectors are experiencing high valuations, with many sub-sectors at three-year historical highs [44] Group 4 - Profit expectations across industries have seen slight changes, with non-ferrous metals experiencing the largest upward adjustment and construction materials the largest downward adjustment [46]