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国际原油与黄金关联:2025 年波动市场下的投资新逻辑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 13:32
Core Insights - Recent fluctuations in international financial markets have been driven by unexpected U.S. non-farm employment data, leading to a decrease in gold prices and an increase in oil production by OPEC+, which has pressured oil prices [1][3]. Group 1: Oil and Gold Correlation - The traditional strong positive correlation between oil and gold, previously at 0.92 from 2002 to 2008, has weakened significantly, dropping below 0.2 due to various factors [3]. - The rise of gold as a monetary asset is evident, with central banks increasing gold holdings for 16 consecutive years, purchasing 493 tons in the first half of 2025 [3]. - Energy transition policies are reducing long-term demand for oil, while digital currencies challenge gold's monetary attributes, reshaping the traditional correlation [4]. - The independent price-driving factors for oil and gold have intensified due to fluctuating Federal Reserve interest rate expectations and trade policies [5]. Group 2: Investment Challenges and Solutions - Investors face dual challenges of short-term volatility and compliance risks, exemplified by significant price swings in gold and execution delays on trading platforms [6]. - Gold trading platforms like Jinsheng Precious Metals are addressing these challenges through comprehensive compliance measures and advanced technology [6]. - Jinsheng offers a full compliance guarantee with unique electronic codes for transactions and independent fund storage, audited daily by PwC [7]. - The platform's intelligent risk control system reduces average leverage during volatile periods, helping users minimize risk exposure by 35% [7]. Group 3: Practical Applications and Strategies - Jinsheng's risk management system provides actionable solutions, such as automated alerts for critical price levels during geopolitical tensions [8]. - The platform's "intelligent brake system" has helped users limit average drawdowns to 7.2%, significantly better than the market average of 15.6% during Q2 2025 [9]. - For long-term investors, Jinsheng offers physical gold delivery services, balancing liquidity and risk management [9]. - New investors benefit from a low entry threshold of $10 and access to expert live broadcasts and simulated trading features [9]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The correlation between oil and gold is shifting from a synchronized relationship to independent narratives, with Jinsheng positioning itself as a reliable platform for navigating market volatility [10]. - Bloomberg forecasts suggest that gold prices may exceed $4,000 per ounce by 2026, emphasizing the importance of choosing a robust and innovative trading platform [10].